Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Reale Arena (San Sebastian)

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Real Sociedad		Midtjylland

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6
	1.52	4.3	6.5	Watch
	1.52	4.4	6.58
	1.5	4.41	6.47	Watch
	1.53	4.2	6
	1.56	4.48	6.69
	1.52	4.35	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.55)	4.35 ↓ (4.63)	6.39 ↓ (6.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Europa League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
63%

Draw
22%

Midtjylland
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

21.3%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

21%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Midtjylland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.7%	10.2%	6.1%

Real Sociedad - Midtjylland Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Sociedad will win (41 of 49 users predict this - 83.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.32% – 94.02%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Remiro A. (G) 6. Elustondo A. 5. Zubeldia I. 21. Aguerd N. 3. Munoz A. 7. Barrenetxea A. 16. Olasagasti J. A. 23. Mendez B. 14. Kubo T. 24. Sucic L. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C)	1. Lossl J. (G) 6. Andersson J. 4. Diao O. 22. Bech Sorensen M. (C) 29. Paulinho 19. Bravo P. 80. Dani Silva 21. Castillo D. 11. Osorio D. 18. Buksa A. 58. Simsir A.
Substitutes
11. Becker S. 32. Fraga A. (G) 17. Gomez S. 12. Lopez J. 28. Marin P. 13. Marrero U. (G) 31. Martin J. 2. Odriozola A. 9. Oskarsson O. 22. Turrientes B. 8. Zakharyan A.	55. Bak V. 20. Byskov V. 14. Chilufya E. 7. Franculino 13. Gabriel A. 41. Gogorza M. 73. Juninho 3. Lee Han-Beom 38. Marrony 43. Mbabu K. 16. Olafsson E. R. (G) 31. Selin L. (G)
Coaches
Alguacil I.	Thomasberg T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Mendez B. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Sucic L. ⚽, Barrenetxea A. (A),
24', 2 - 1, Buksa A. (Pen),
31', Buksa A. 🟨,
38', 2 - 2, Osorio D. ⚽, Buksa A. (A),
42', Paulinho 🟨,
45+2', 3 - 2, Sucic L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Andersson J. ↓, Mbabu K. ↑,
46', Bech Sorensen M. ↓, Juninho ↑,
48', Sucic L. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
60', Paulinho ↓, Bak V. ↑,
66', Olasagasti J. A. 🟨,
67', Olasagasti J. A. ↓, Turrientes B. ↑,
67', Kubo T. ↓, Becker S. ↑,
70', Dani Silva 🟥,
73', 4 - 2, Oyarzabal M. (Pen),
74', Osorio D. ↓, Franculino ↑,
74', Simsir A. ↓, Byskov V. ↑,
83', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Zakharyan A. ↑,
83', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Oskarsson O. ↑,
90', 5 - 2, Oskarsson O. ⚽, Zakharyan A. (A),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Recent matches Real Sociedad is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Midtjylland is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real Sociedad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Midtjylland have a series of home games.

In this match Real Sociedad is certain favorite.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Aramburu J. (Yellow Cards) Pacheco J. (Muscle Injury) Traore H. (Knee Injury) Zubimendi M. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Midtjylland: Cho Gue-Sung (Knee Injury) Olsson K. (Health problems)

There are questionable in Midtjylland: Askildsen K. (Injury) Sorensen O. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
16.02.25	Betis - Real Sociedad	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.02.25	Midtjylland - Real Sociedad	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
09.02.25	Real Sociedad - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.02.25	Real Sociedad - Osasuna	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.02.25	Osasuna - Real Sociedad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWWL
- FC Midtjylland
Danish Superliga
16.02.25	Midtjylland - Lyngby BK	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.02.25	Midtjylland - Real Sociedad	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
08.02.25	Midtjylland - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.01.25	Midtjylland - Fenerbahçe	2:2 ✺
23.01.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Midtjylland	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
13.02.25	Midtjylland - Real Sociedad	1:2

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