Match Info

Date: 24 January 2022, Monday


	Real Sociedad B		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.35	3.2	2.75
	2.6	3.2	2.75	Watch
	2.5	3.05	2.65
	2.66	3.3	2.79
	2.6	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.59	3.36	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.72)	3.2 ↑ (3.06)	2.74 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad B
36.6%

Draw
29.2%

Cartagena
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

30.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

21.6%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Sociedad B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cartagena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.3%	35.5%	32.3%

Real Sociedad B - Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 20 - 32.3%). Cartagena will win (votes: 20 - 32.3%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 35.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.6% – 47.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Real Sociedad B has the most likely position - 21 (26.66%), has project points - 41, has currently - 18, has a good chance of relegated (69%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Cartagena has the most likely position - 10 (8.56%), has project points - 58, has currently - 33, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (17%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Real Sociedad B has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cartagena is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad B
Spanish LaLiga2
08.01.22	Leganés - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
31.12.21	Eibar - Real Sociedad B	3:2 ✺
19.12.21	Real Sociedad B - Valladolid	0:2 ✺
13.12.21	Mirandés - Real Sociedad B	2:0 ✺
05.12.21	Real Sociedad B - Burgos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLLL
- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
08.01.22	Cartagena - Huesca	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.22	Cartagena - Valencia	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
02.01.22	Almería - Cartagena	0:1 ✺
19.12.21	Cartagena - Mirandés	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.12.21	Castellón - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
04.09.21	Cartagena - Real Sociedad B	1:0

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