Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Real Titánico		Covadonga

	1	X	2
	8.8	4.65	1.28
	7.16	4.32	1.41	Watch
	10	4.33	1.3
	10.8	4.5	1.27
	10	4.75	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.35 ↑ (7.6)	4.51 ↑ (4.3)	1.3 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Titánico
9.8%

Draw
20.2%

Covadonga
70%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12%

21.3%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.5%

20.4%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Titánico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Covadonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Titánico than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Real Titánico - Covadonga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Tineo Pablo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
62', 0 - 2, ⚽,
70', 0 - 3, ⚽,
76', 0 - 4, ⚽,
85', 0 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Titánico won 0.

Titánico is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Covadonga is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Covadonga is the obvious favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Titánico won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Titánico won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Covadonga	5	4	1	0	14:4	10	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Titánico
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
04.01.26	Avilés Stadium - Real Titánico	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Real Titánico - Llanera	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Real Titánico - Tuilla	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Llanes - Real Titánico	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Real Titánico - Sporting de Gijón B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 TLTLT
- CD Covadonga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
04.01.26	Covadonga - Llanes	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Sporting de Gijón B - Covadonga	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Covadonga - LEntregu	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	Colunga - Covadonga	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Covadonga - Mosconia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
19.01.25	Covadonga - Real Titánico	3:0
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Real Titánico - Covadonga	0:3
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
09.04.23	Real Titánico - Covadonga	1:1
11.12.22	Covadonga - Real Titánico	3:1
26.03.22	Covadonga - Real Titánico	0:0
07.11.21	Real Titánico - Covadonga	1:1

Real Titánico - Covadonga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide