Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 4 April 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio IV Centenario (Tarija)

Referee: de Vivar M. D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports


	Real Tomayapo		Delfín

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.3	2.05	Watch
	3.7	3.25	2
	3.75	3.3	2	Watch
	3.9	3.25	2.06
	3.67	3.24	2.07
	3.7	3.25	1.91	Watch
	3.71	3.38	2	Watch
	3.6	3.25	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (2.31)	3.28 ↓ (3.37)	2.02 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Tomayapo
25.1%

Draw
28.5%

Delfín
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

27.6%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

26.9%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Tomayapo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Tomayapo's form might have worsened.

Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Delfín's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Tomayapo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Delfín, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	21.4%	50%

Real Tomayapo - Delfín Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Tomayapo will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Delfín will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Delfín: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Galindo P. (G) 30. Villamil J. 24. Cantillo A. 2. Rioja J. 22. Alcaraz A. 21. Noble M. 20. Justiniano L. 6. Villamil S. 10. Maygua L. 17. Ortega J. 29. Graneros A.	26. Heras B. (G) 3. Elordi J. M. 14. Gariglio I. 2. Goitea N. 13. Cuero Mercado J. W. 16. Castro L. 55. Reyes M. 5. Garcia C. 79. Tijanovich H. 9. Angulo J. 8. Gaggi E.
Substitutes
25. Arancibia A. (G) 7. Aviles M. 31. Castellon V. 38. Cuiza S. 11. Hernandez M. 26. Lima R. 4. Maldonado D. 33. Mamani K. 15. Orellana J. 9. Orozco Quiroga J. N. 19. Padilha Hallysson 12. Tomianovic M.	19. Alman J. 30. Becerra L. 22. Cagua G. 25. Humanante J. 18. Mejia M. 11. Messiniti N. 20. Mieles M. 4. Nazareno J. 33. Recalde Baez E. E. (G) 15. Sambonino K. 51. Zambrano J. 54. Zuniga E.
Coaches
Aran C.	Duro G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 1, Angulo J. (Pen),
57', Alcaraz A. 🟨,
60', Ortega J. ↓, Castellon V. ↑,
60', Villamil J. ↓, Orellana J. ↑,
60', Maygua L. ↓, Tomianovic M. ↑,
71', Tijanovich H. ↓, Alman J. ↑,
71', Gaggi E. ↓, Zuniga E. ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Gariglio I. ⚽,
78', Villamil S. ↓, Hernandez M. ↑,
84', Castro L. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
84', Reyes M. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
87', Noble M. ↓, Orozco Quiroga J. N. ↑,
89', Angulo J. ↓, Messiniti N. ↑,
90+5', Cuero Mercado J. W. 🟨,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Tomayapo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Delfín will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Tomayapo
Bolivian Division Profesional
30.03.24	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Real Tomayapo	3:0 ✺
13.03.24	Real Tomayapo - The Strongest	2:0 ✺
08.03.24	Royal Pari - Real Tomayapo	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.03.24	Real Tomayapo - Jorge Wilstermann	1:0 penalties ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
02.03.24	The Strongest - Real Tomayapo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWTWL
- Delfín SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
31.03.24	Deportivo Cuenca - Delfín	0:0 ✺
25.03.24	Delfín - Libertad Loja	1:1 ✺
21.03.24	Emelec - Delfín	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Delfín - Técnico Universitario	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Imbabura - Delfín	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTLWL

Real Tomayapo - Delfín: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide