Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 2

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio George Capwell (Guayaquil)

Referee: Cabrera R. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Emelec		Delfín

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.68	3.3	4.4
	1.72	3.45	4.55	Watch
	1.83	3.64	4.87
	1.73	3.57	4.9	Watch
	1.73	3.2	4.2
	1.77	3.53	4.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.61)	3.46 ↓ (3.75)	4.57 ↓ (5.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emelec
53.1%

Draw
26.7%

Delfín
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

24.9%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Emelec - Delfín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ortiz P. (G) 14. Caicedo R. 27. Leon F. (C) 4. Segura E. 2. Leguizamon A. 23. Bolanos M. 6. Griffith V. 5. Mina A. 3. Guerrico I. 7. Klimowicz L. 10. Pizzini F.	21. Heras B. (C) 55. Reyes M. 32. Bedoya A. 6. Burdisso M. 14. Zuniga E. 30. Valverde J. 17. Rubio E. 34. Heredia G. 16. Castro L. 11. Perinciolo F. 9. Ayunta F.
Substitutes
17. Ayovi J. 18. Carabali M. 15. Fragozo L. 30. Mina A. 8. Napoli G. 16. Quintero S. 51. Valencia S. 1. Valero M. (G)	7. Alvarez A. 33. Cabeza E. 22. Cardenas J. (G) 5. Medina O. 70. Mejia M. 18. Morocho J. 29. Ratotti F. 99. Tenorio L. 78. Ushina K. 27. Yepez E.
Coaches
Sanchez V.	Zubeldia J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Burdisso M. 🟨,
25', Heras B. 🟨,
45+3', Klimowicz L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Leguizamon A. 🟨,
49', Rubio E. 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Klimowicz L. ⚽, Segura E. (A),
61', Leguizamon A. ↓, Napoli G. ↑,
72', Leon F. 🟨,
72', Ayunta F. 🟨,
73', Klimowicz L. ↓, Ayovi J. ↑,
74', Perinciolo F. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
74', Reyes M. ↓, Cabeza E. ↑,
74', Castro L. ↓, Ratotti F. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Mejia M. ⚽,
86', Segura E. 🟥,
87', Rubio E. ↓, Ushina K. ↑,
88', Bolanos M. ↓, Fragozo L. ↑,
88', Mina A. ↓, Valencia S. ↑,
90+7', Valencia S. 🟨,
90+7', Fragozo L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 3.

Emelec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Emelec is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emelec
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
20.12.25	Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec	5:1 ✺
15.12.25	Emelec - El Nacional	5:0 ✺
08.12.25	Emelec - Deportivo Macará	0:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
03.12.25	LDU Quito - Emelec	1:1 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
30.11.25	Delfín - Emelec	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWLWW
- Delfín SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.02.26	Delfín - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.02.26	Delfín - LDU Portoviejo	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
13.12.25	Delfín - SD Aucas	0:1 ✺
05.12.25	Deportivo Cuenca - Delfín	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Delfín - Emelec	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
30.11.25	Delfín - Emelec	0:1
26.10.25	Emelec - Delfín	1:0
21.06.25	Emelec - Delfín	2:2
22.02.25	Delfín - Emelec	2:0
24.08.24	Delfín - Emelec	0:1
21.03.24	Emelec - Delfín	2:0
27.08.23	Emelec - Delfín	0:1

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