Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadium Gal (Irun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Real Unión de Irun		Arenteiro

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.75	2.8
	2.2	3	2.95
	2.28	3.05	3.15
	2.59	3	2.92
	2.3	3.04	3.09	Watch
	2.34	2.92	3.34
	2.4	3.05	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.79)	2.97 ↑ (2.86)	3.04 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
38.7%

Draw
31%

Arenteiro
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

31.5%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

31.9%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Unión de Irun's performance.

Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arenteiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Unión de Irun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arenteiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Unión de Irun - Arenteiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wright J. (G) 19. Eimil V. 5. Dominguez J. 6. Quintana A. 18. Puig J. 24. Munroe F. 22. Garrido D. 16. Vidorreta A. 10. Rivero Q. (C) 7. Aranzabe A. 20. Sergio Benito	13. Garcia D. (G) 16. Rivelott Curro 5. Borge A. 15. Diori Y. 2. lano Imbene 18. Rodriguez E. 17. Pascu 7. Ferreiro D. 6. Prendes M. 20. Perez S. 21. Baselga M.
Substitutes
9. Benito A. 8. Bilbao I. 17. Cayarga B. 11. Obieta K. 4. Olaortua I. 25. Perez C. (G) 31. Rodriguez O. (G) 2. Santos S.	14. Cruz A. 11. Cuellar J. 10. Esteban S. 24. Fernandez L. 27. Figueroa M. (G) 1. Lopez A. (G) 22. Sanchez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Ferreiro D. 🟨,
34', Vidorreta A. ↓, Bilbao I. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dominguez J. ↓, Santos S. ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Rivero Q. ⚽,
62', Diori Y. 🟥,
64', Rodriguez E. ↓, Cuellar J. ↑,
64', Perez S. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
74', Bilbao I. 🟨,
74', Eimil V. ↓, Benito A. ↑,
75', Garrido D. ↓, Obieta K. ↑,
79', Rivelott Curro ↓, Esteban S. ↑,
83', Baselga M. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
83', lano Imbene ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
90+2', Wright J. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Real Unión could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Real Unión will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Real Unión won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:9 (average 1:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Unión won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.03.25	Amorebieta - Real Unión de Irun	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Real Unión de Irun - Real Sociedad B	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Celta de Vigo B - Real Unión de Irun	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Real Unión de Irun - Unionistas de Salamanca	3:2 ✺
02.02.25	Barakaldo - Real Unión de Irun	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLLWW
- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.03.25	Arenteiro - Sestao	2:2 ✺
23.02.25	Barcelona B - Arenteiro	2:3 ✺
19.02.25	Arenteiro - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Arenteiro - Tarazona	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.12.24	Arenteiro - Real Unión de Irun	3:0
21.01.24	Real Unión de Irun - Arenteiro	1:2
16.09.23	Arenteiro - Real Unión de Irun	2:3
Spanish Copa Federacion
19.10.22	Arenteiro - Real Unión de Irun	2:0

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