The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Unión de Irun 41.7%
Draw 29.2%
Tarazona 29.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.2%
29.4%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
28.7%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Unión de Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Unión de Irun's performance.
Tarazona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tarazona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Unión de Irun that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tarazona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Real Unión de Irun - Tarazona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Wright J. (G) 5. Dominguez J. 4. Olaortua I. 3. Carlos J. 22. Garrido D. 21. San Bartolome V. 16. Vidorreta A. 8. Bilbao I. 10. Rivero Q. 20. Sergio Benito 11. Obieta K.
13. Ramirez Y. (G) 2. Camus S. 5. Murria V. 4. Trilles M. 17. Lopez A. 3. Martinez Chechu 20. Aguero 12. Cedeno E. 23. Rico M. 11. Rivas L. 19. Fuentes A.
Substitutes
7. Aranzabe A. 17. Cayarga B. 19. Eimil V. . Fernandez A. 26. Ghussein B. 28. Labaka A. 25. Perez C. (G) 2. Santos S. 1. Txusta (G)
18. Alvarez M. 7. Areso J. 14. Buyla J. 1. Fuoli D. (G) 22. Llacer L. 10. Mena P. 6. Mencia J. 21. Pradera M. 15. Rodriguez J. 8. Romero B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Rico M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', San Bartolome V. ↓, Aranzabe A. ↑,
70', Garrido D. ↓, Cayarga B. ↑,
70', Rivas L. ↓, Llacer L. ↑,
70', Martinez Chechu ↓, Pradera M. ↑,
75', Rico M. ↓, Areso J. ↑,
75', Aguero ↓, Mena P. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Sergio Benito ⚽,
90+2', Sergio Benito ↓, Ghussein B. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).
Recent form of Real Unión has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Tarazona's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Real Unión is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Unión won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1:0.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Unión won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
Spain
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Wright J. (G) 
Dominguez J. 
Cedeno E. 
Rivas L. 
Ghussein B. 
Buyla J. 
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