Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadium Gal (Irun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Real Unión de Irun		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.2	3.9
	1.85	3.25	3.6
	1.84	3	3.65
	1.94	3.46	4.01
	1.85	3.45	3.88	Watch
	1.91	3.34	4.06
	1.84	3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.81)	3.24 ↑ (2.98)	3.82 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
48.5%

Draw
27.9%

Gimnástica Segoviana
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

29.7%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

30.4%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Gimnástica Segoviana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Real Unión de Irun - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Real Unión will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). G Segoviana will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wright J. (G) 19. Eimil V. 5. Dominguez J. 4. Olaortua I. 6. Quintana A. 24. Munroe F. 8. Bilbao I. 21. San Bartolome V. 16. Vidorreta A. 17. Cayarga B. 20. Sergio Benito	1. Carmona P. (G) 21. Juan Silva 5. Pascual A. 17. Chupo 4. Lopez D. 8. Diaz H. 22. De La Mata J. 6. Olmedilla M. 7. Berlanga M. 9. Gomez D. 20. Tellechea I.
Substitutes
7. Aranzabe A. 3. Carlos J. 22. Garrido D. 26. Ghussein B. 11. Obieta K. 25. Perez C. (G) 10. Rivero Q. 2. Santos S. 1. Txusta (G)	11. Astray P. 25. Changyi L. (G) 19. Davo 30. Hernando D. 29. Ibanes R. 26. Marcos H. 32. Maroto A. 44. Oliva H. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', Pascual A. 🟥,
9', Munroe F. 🟨,
10', Juan Silva 🟥,
12', 1 - 0, Sergio Benito (Pen),
21', 2 - 0, San Bartolome V. ⚽,
23', Olmedilla M. 🟨,
26', 3 - 0, Eimil V. ⚽,
28', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Berlanga M. ↓, Marcos H. ↑,
46', Diaz H. ↓, Ibanes R. ↑,
46', Olaortua I. ↓, Carlos J. ↑,
46', Munroe F. ↓, Aranzabe A. ↑,
55', Carmona P. ↓, Changyi L. ↑,
61', 4 - 0, San Bartolome V. ⚽,
61', De La Mata J. ↓, Astray P. ↑,
64', 🟨,
68', San Bartolome V. ↓, Garrido D. ↑,
68', Cayarga B. ↓, Obieta K. ↑,
68', Bilbao I. ↓, Rivero Q. ↑,
74', 5 - 0, Garrido D. ⚽,
87', Marcos H. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Real Unión could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Unión is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Unión won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.01.25	Sestao - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Real Unión de Irun - Zamora	1:2 ✺
22.12.24	Real Unión de Irun - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Arenteiro - Real Unión de Irun	3:0 ✺
07.12.24	Real Unión de Irun - Athletic Bilbao B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLLLW
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.01.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Arenteiro	1:2 ✺
11.01.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Gimnástica Segoviana	5:0 ✺
22.12.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Lugo	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Leonesa - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:3 ✺
07.12.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.10.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Real Unión de Irun	3:0

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