Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 35

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Recanatese		Carrarese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5	3.6	1.55
	5.5	3.75	1.6	Watch
	5.69	3.77	1.6
	5.69	3.77	1.61
	5.5	3.75	1.53
	5.44	3.8	1.54
	5	3.65	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.4 ↑ (3.27)	3.73 ↑ (3.3)	1.58 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Recanatese
17%

Draw
24.7%

Carrarese
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

27.5%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

27.6%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Recanatese's form might have worsened.

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carrarese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Recanatese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carrarese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Recanatese - Carrarese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meli G. (G) 5. Shiba C. 14. Ferrante E. 2. Veltri A. 19. Raimo A. 8. Carpani G. 24. Raparo M. 7. Pelamatti A. 10. Sbaffo A. 11. Lipari M. 9. Melchiorri F.	1. Bleve M. (G) 4. Illanes J. 15. Di Gennaro M. 3. Imperiale M. 72. Zanon S. 5. Della L. S. 82. Capezzi L. 11. Cicconi M. 32. Finotto M. 10. Panico G. 28. Capello A.
Substitutes
74. Ahmetaj M. 3. Allievi N. 17. Egharevba D. 96. Ferretti D. 31. Fiorini M. 21. Guidobaldi F. 25. Longobardi G. 22. Mascolo N. (G) 30. Mazia A. 16. Morrone B. 4. Prisco A. 33. Rizzo F.	66. Boli J. 6. Cerretelli F. 21. Coppolaro M. 90. Giannetti N. 7. Grassini D. 22. Mazzini S. (G) 24. Morosini L. 8. Palmieri R. 12. Tampucci T. (G) 17. Zuelli E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Lipari M. ⚽,
10', Di Gennaro M. 🟨,
11', 2 - 0, Sbaffo A. ⚽,
22', 3 - 0, Melchiorri F. ⚽,
39', Melchiorri F. 🟨,
40', 4 - 0, Carpani G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Di Gennaro M. ↓, Coppolaro M. ↑,
46', Zanon S. ↓, Palmieri R. ↑,
48', Della L. S. ↓, Zuelli E. ↑,
50', Illanes J. 🟨,
58', Raparo M. ↓, Fiorini M. ↑,
58', Carpani G. ↓, Morrone B. ↑,
65', Capello A. ↓, Morosini L. ↑,
65', Veltri A. ↓, Allievi N. ↑,
66', Coppolaro M. 🟨,
72', Coppolaro M. ↓, Grassini D. ↑,
77', Raimo A. ↓, Rizzo F. ↑,
77', Melchiorri F. ↓, Ahmetaj M. ↑,
78', Palmieri R. 🟨,
80', 4 - 1, Morosini L. ⚽,
90+1', Ahmetaj M. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Recanatese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carrarese is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Carrarese is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Recanatese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Recanatese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie C Group B
30.03.24	Pineto - Recanatese	0:0 ✺
23.03.24	Recanatese - Ancona	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Olbia - Recanatese	4:1 ✺
11.03.24	Sestri Levante - Recanatese	2:0 ✺
05.03.24	Recanatese - Pescara	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TWLLW
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
28.03.24	Carrarese - Perugia	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	SPAL - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Carrarese - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Pescara - Carrarese	2:2 ✺
05.03.24	Carrarese - Cesena	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
02.12.23	Carrarese - Recanatese	1:1
08.01.23	Recanatese - Carrarese	4:2
11.09.22	Carrarese - Recanatese	3:1

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