Match Info

Serie B - Round 37

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio dei Marmi (Carrara)

Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Carrarese		Cesena

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.95
	2.35	3.25	2.88	Watch
	2.5	3.35	3.06
	2.36	3.51	2.82	Watch
	2.38	3.25	2.8
	2.29	3.44	3.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.3)	3.39 ↑ (3.13)	2.9 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Carrarese
39.8%

Draw
27.8%

Cesena
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

29.8%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

28.9%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Carrarese - Cesena Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Cesena will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carrarese: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Cesena (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cesena (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bleve M. (G) 37. Calabrese N. 4. Illanes J. 6. Oliana F. 72. Zanon S. 77. Parlanti G. 18. Schiavi N. (C) 70. Hasa L. 7. Belloni N. 9. Abiuso F. 92. Torregrossa E.	1. Siano A. (G) 15. Ciofi A. (C) 19. Zaro G. 24. Mangraviti M. 99. Frabotta G. 14. Berti T. 25. Bisoli D. 11. Ciervo R. 9. Shpendi C. 32. Olivieri M. 7. Cerri A.
Substitutes
13. Bouah D. 28. Di Stefano F. 32. Finotto M. 99. Fiorillo V. (G) 78. Guercio T. 25. Lordkipanidze D. 8. Melegoni F. 73. Rouhi J. 21. Rubino T. 26. Ruggeri F. 44. Sekulov N. 17. Zuelli E.	6. Arrigoni T. 10. Bastoni S. 4. Castagnetti M. 8. Castrovilli G. 27. Corazza T. 40. Ferretti L. (G) 70. Francesconi M. 18. Guidi M. 23. Magni V. 26. Piacentini M. 77. Tosku F. 22. Vrioni G.
Coaches
Calabro A.	Cole A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Parlanti G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Parlanti G. ↓, Zuelli E. ↑,
46', Torregrossa E. ↓, Rubino T. ↑,
55', Abiuso F. 🟨,
58', Frabotta G. ↓, Corazza T. ↑,
58', Ciervo R. ↓, Castrovilli G. ↑,
65', Schiavi N. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
72', Calabrese N. 🟨,
76', Zanon S. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
78', Shpendi C. ↓, Castagnetti M. ↑,
83', Abiuso F. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
85', Mangraviti M. ↓, Piacentini M. ↑,
85', Cerri A. ↓, Vrioni G. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Carrarese: Imperiale M. (Inactive) Salamon B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Cesena: Klinsmann J. (Neck Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Carrarese won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cesena	6	1	4	1	7:8	-1	7
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	2:6	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
25.04.26	Frosinone - Carrarese	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Carrarese - Pescara	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Reggiana - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Carrarese - Spezia	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Bari - Carrarese	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLWW
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
25.04.26	Cesena - Sampdoria	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Palermo - Cesena	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Juve Stabia - Cesena	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Cesena - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Cesena - Catanzaro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
28.10.25	Cesena - Carrarese	2:1
29.12.24	Carrarese - Cesena	2:0
18.08.24	Cesena - Carrarese	2:1
Italian Serie C Group B
05.03.24	Carrarese - Cesena	3:2
30.10.23	Cesena - Carrarese	2:1
23.12.22	Carrarese - Cesena	1:1
04.09.22	Cesena - Carrarese	1:2

Upcoming Matches