Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 12

Date: 25 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid (Bragança Paulista)

Referee: Correia B. (Bra)


	Red Bull Bragantino		Goiás

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	8	Watch
	1.43	4.6	7.25
	1.42	4.5	8
	1.44	4.69	7.96
	1.4	4.33	7.5
	1.42	4.6	7.4	Watch
	1.42	4.5	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.61)	4.53 ↑ (4)	7.62 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Bragantino
66.6%

Draw
20.9%

Goiás
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

23.7%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

22.7%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Bull Bragantino's performance.

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Bull Bragantino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Red Bull Bragantino - Goiás Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Goiás will win (votes: 6 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Bragantino: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cleiton (C) 26. Eduardo Santos 30. Luan Patrick 29. Juninho Capixaba 5. Jadsom Silva 35. Matheus Fernandes 8. Lucas Evangelista 7. Eric Ramires 27. Sorriso 19. Eduardo Sasha 28. Vitinho	23. Tadeu (C) 2. Maguinho 3. Lucas Halter 19. Bruno Melo 6. Sander 5. Ze Ricardo 40. Everton Morelli 60. Guilherme 10. Palacios J. 22. Apodi 17. Matheus Peixoto
Substitutes
13. Aderlan 9. Alerrandro 18. Borbas T. 43. Everton 31. Guilherme Lopes 22. Gustavinho 46. Henrique da Silva G. 34. Hurtado J. 41. Jhonny 40. Lucao (G) 48. Nathan Camargo 25. Praxedes	27. Alesson 18. Ariel 13. Bruno Santos 11. Diego Goncalves 43. Edu 8. Fellipe Bastos 66. Hugo 79. Lucas Emmanuel 88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 30. Matheus Santos 95. Rodrigues Adelino dos Santos V. 4. Sidimar
Coaches
Caixinha P.	Evangelista A.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

RB Bragantino has the most likely position - 10 (7.74%), project points - 53, currently - 14, a small chance of relegated (9%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Goiás has the most likely position - 20 (19.69%), project points - 37, currently - 8, a good chance of relegated (61%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Last 5 head-to-head matches RB Bragantino won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Goiás could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Goiás have a series of home games.

In this match RB Bragantino is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in RB Bragantino: Laquintana I. (Injury) Leo Ortiz (Injury) Lomonaco K. (Injury) Luan Candido (Injury) Lucas Cunha (Injury) Raul (Injury)

There will not play in Goiás: Diego (Injury)

There are questionable in Goiás: Palacios J. (Injury) Vinicius (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches RB Bragantino won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams RB Bragantino won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
22.06.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Flamengo	4:0 ✺
10.06.23	Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.06.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
04.06.23	Fluminense - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 ✺
28.05.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Santos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTTLW
- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie A
22.06.23	Vasco da Gama - Goiás	0:1 ✺
11.06.23	Goiás - Fluminense	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.06.23	Goiás - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
04.06.23	Goiás - Cuiabá	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
31.05.23	Goiás - Paysandu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
18.09.22	Red Bull Bragantino - Goiás	1:1
Copa do Brasil
31.05.22	Red Bull Bragantino - Goiás	0:2 penalties
Brazilian Serie A
28.05.22	Goiás - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1
Copa do Brasil
20.04.22	Goiás - Red Bull Bragantino	1:2
Brazilian Serie A
21.02.21	Goiás - Red Bull Bragantino	0:0
24.10.20	Red Bull Bragantino - Goiás	2:0
Brazilian Serie B
07.10.16	Goiás - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1

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