Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 8 June 2023, Thursday

Location: Estádio da Serrinha (Goiania)

Referee: Mendez Chavez I. N. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Goiás		Gimnasia La Plata

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	4	Watch
	2	3.2	3.9
	2	3.15	4.1
	2.01	3.18	4.26
	2	3	3.75
	1.99	3.32	3.9	Watch
	2	3.15	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.6)	3.19 ↓ (3.71)	3.96 ↓ (5.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
46.9%

Draw
29.4%

Gimnasia La Plata
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

25.1%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

25%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Goiás's form might have worsened.

Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimnasia La Plata's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Goiás, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimnasia La Plata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Goiás - Gimnasia La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: Goiás will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Tadeu (C) 2. Maguinho 4. Sidimar 40. Everton Morelli 27. Alesson 60. Guilherme 13. Bruno Santos 43. Edu 77. Jhonny Lucas 66. Hugo 99. Gabriel Novaes	1. Durso T. (G) 6. Enrique G. 4. Morales L. 36. Mastrangelo D. 32. Melluso M. 8. Steimbach A. 5. Miramon I. 17. Comba M. 19. Napolitano A. 26. Torres F. 25. Tarragona C.
Substitutes
22. Apodi 18. Ariel 11. Diego Goncalves 15. Felipe 8. Fellipe Bastos 79. Lucas Emmanuel 3. Lucas Halter 14. Luiz Filipe 88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 30. Matheus Santos 10. Palacios J. 6. Sander	14. Bolivar A. 18. Colazo N. 7. Dominguez B. 23. Insfran N. (G) 20. Lescano A. 29. Mammini I. 34. Mamut L. 2. Palazzo B. 42. Ramirez A. 11. Ramirez E. 15. Sanchez N. 27. Soldano F.
Coaches
Emerson Avila	Romero S.

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Gimnasia La Plata could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Goiás will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Goiás won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie A
04.06.23	Goiás - Cuiabá	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
31.05.23	Goiás - Paysandu	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
27.05.23	São Paulo - Goiás	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.05.23	Goiás - Universitario de Deportes	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
20.05.23	Bahia - Goiás	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLWT
- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.06.23	Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0 ✺
27.05.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.05.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.05.23	Godoy Cruz - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0 ✺
15.05.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Lanús	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
04.05.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Goiás	0:2

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