Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 9

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques (Bragança Paulista)

Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Spain	Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TV Globo Internacional


	Red Bull Bragantino		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.55	3.15	2.12
	3.88	3.25	2.16
	3.7	3.24	2.13
	3.6	3	2.05
	4.08	3.26	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↓ (4.31)	3.18 ↓ (3.37)	2.1 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Bragantino
25.1%

Draw
29.8%

Flamengo
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

27.8%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

26.7%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flamengo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flamengo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	31.2%	50%

Red Bull Bragantino - Flamengo Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Flamengo will win (votes: 8 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Tiago Volpi (G) 23. Sant'Anna A. 4. Alix Vinicius (C) 16. Gustavo Marques 29. Juninho Capixaba 6. Gabriel 35. Matheus Fernandes 32. Herrera J. 21. Lucas Barbosa 30. Mosquera H. 9. Pitta I.	1. Rossi A. (G) 22. Emerson Royal 3. Leo Ortiz 44. Vitao 6. Ayrton Lucas 5. Pulgar E. 21. Jorginho (C) 7. Luiz Araujo 20. Lucas Paqueta 16. Samuel Lino 9. Pedro
Substitutes
51. Caue Nascimento 1. Cleiton (G) 3. Eduardo Santos 7. Eric Ramires 5. Fabinho 22. Gustavo Neves 34. Hurtado A. 57. Marcelinho 14. Pedro Henrique 20. Rodriguinho 15. Sosa I. 17. Vinicinho	15. Carrascal J. 51. Daniel Sales 13. Danilo 42. da Silva Ventura A. (G) 18. de la Cruz N. 49. Dyogo Alves (G) 11. Everton 19. Plata G. 64. Wallace Yan
Coaches
Vagner Mancini	Jardim L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Pitta I. ⚽, Juninho Capixaba (A),
39', 2 - 0, Gabriel ⚽, Mosquera H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lucas Paqueta ↓, Everton ↑,
46', Luiz Araujo ↓, Carrascal J. ↑,
48', Herrera J. 🟨,
50', Pulgar E. 🟥,
55', 3 - 0, Lucas Barbosa ⚽, Sant'Anna A. (A),
58', Samuel Lino ↓, de la Cruz N. ↑,
65', Herrera J. ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
67', Pedro ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
75', Ayrton Lucas ↓, Danilo ↑,
77', Matheus Fernandes 🟨,
77', Mosquera H. ↓, Vinicinho ↑,
77', Matheus Fernandes ↓, Gustavo Neves ↑,
80', Sosa I. 🟨,
81', Gustavo Neves 🟨,
85', Sant'Anna A. ↓, Caue Nascimento ↑,
85', Juninho Capixaba ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
89', Everton 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 0.

RB Bragantino is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Flamengo is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Flamengo could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in RB Bragantino: Fabricio (Ankle Injury) Fernando Santos (Ankle Injury) Rodriguez G. (Knee Injury) Sant'Anna A. (Hamstring Injury) Vanderlan (Health problems)

There will not play in Flamengo: Bruno Henrique (Groin Injury) Evertton Araujo (Red Card) Niguez S. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	29	18	7	4	57:25	32	61
11	Bragantino	29	10	7	12	34:33	1	37

Last Results with these Odds

Flamengo - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50.49%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
21.03.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
12.03.26	Grêmio - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
25.02.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Athletico Paranaense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLTT
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
22.03.26	Corinthians - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
19.03.26	Flamengo - Remo	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	0:3 ✺
11.03.26	Flamengo - Cruzeiro	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
08.03.26	Fluminense - Flamengo	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
22.11.25	Flamengo - Red Bull Bragantino	3:0
23.07.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Flamengo	1:2
25.08.24	Flamengo - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1
04.05.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Flamengo	1:1
23.11.23	Flamengo - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0
22.06.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Flamengo	4:0
01.10.22	Flamengo - Red Bull Bragantino	4:1

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