Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid (Bragança Paulista)

Referee: Alves Batista E. (Bra)


	Red Bull Bragantino		Internacional de Limeira

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.5	9.5	Watch
	1.35	4.75	8.75
	1.44	4.33	7
	1.35	4.87	9.34
	1.32	5.13	10.31
	1.29	4.4	9.5
	1.33	4.7	8.75	Watch
	1.32	4.5	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.51)	4.65 ↑ (3.5)	8.97 ↑ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Bragantino
69.5%

Draw
20.1%

Internacional de Limeira
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

26.1%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

23%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Bull Bragantino's performance.

Internacional de Limeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Bull Bragantino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional de Limeira than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Red Bull Bragantino - Internacional de Limeira Predictions

Users Predictions: Red Bull Bragantino will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cleiton (C) 45. Nathan Mendes 4. Lucas Cunha 36. Luan Candido 29. Juninho Capixaba 7. Eric Ramires 5. Jadsom Silva 10. Lincoln 11. Helinho 19. Eduardo Sasha 28. Vitinho	23. Max Walef (G) 22. JP Galvao 4. Diego Jussani (C) 3. Mauricio Ribeiro 6. Ze Mario 21. Lucas Buchecha 5. Emerson Santos 8. Gustavo Bochecha 7. Everton Brito 9. Quirino 11. Juninho
Substitutes
34. Andres Hurtado 18. Borbas T. 17. Bruninho 39. Douglas Mendes 31. Guilherme Lopes 22. Gustavinho 33. Laquintana I. 40. Lucao (G) 35. Matheus Fernandes 30. Mosquera H. 23. Raul 21. Talisson	27. Albano 1. Andre Luiz (G) 16. Cesar Morais 2. Felipe Albuquerque 10. Fernando Canesin 20. Gabriel Silva 13. Guilherme Mariano 19. Joao Felipe 25. Kaue 29. Lima 34. Matheus Mancini 18. Rafael Silva
Coaches
Caixinha P.	Junior Rocha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Lucas Buchecha 🟨,
24', Lincoln ↓, Borbas T. ↑,
41', Borbas T. ⚽, Helinho (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', JP Galvao 🟨,
56', Vitinho 🟨,
58', Borbas T. ⚽,
59', Eric Ramires ↓, Gustavinho ↑,
59', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Matheus Fernandes ↑,
60', Juninho ↓, Albano ↑,
61', Quirino ↓, Rafael Silva ↑,
61', Vitinho ⚽, Gustavinho (A),
70', Lucas Buchecha ↓, Lima ↑,
72', Jadsom Silva ↓, Raul ↑,
72', Helinho ↓, Talisson ↑,
76', Emerson Santos ↓, Kaue ↑,
76', Ze Mario ↓, Cesar Morais ↑,
88', Diego Jussani 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are in bad shape now.

RB Bragantino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match RB Bragantino is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches RB Bragantino won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams RB Bragantino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Bragantino
Copa Libertadores
13.03.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
10.03.24	Guarani - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.03.24	Botafogo RJ - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
03.03.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Santos	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.02.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Rionegro Águilas	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLWW
- Internacional de Limeira
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
09.03.24	Santos - Internacional de Limeira	3:2 ✺
02.03.24	Internacional de Limeira - Ituano	2:0 ✺
28.02.24	Internacional de Limeira - São Paulo	0:3 ✺
24.02.24	Santo André - Internacional de Limeira	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Água Santa - Internacional de Limeira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
09.02.22	Red Bull Bragantino - Internacional de Limeira	4:1
15.04.21	Internacional de Limeira - Red Bull Bragantino	0:2
27.01.20	Red Bull Bragantino - Internacional de Limeira	0:1

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