Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 12

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Salzburg)

Referee: Weinberger J. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Germany	Sky Go Germany
Russia	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
World	Onefootball


	Red Bull Salzburg		Ried

	1	X	2
	1.71	4	4.1	Watch
	1.7	3.95	4.25
	1.40	5.04	6.83	Watch
	1.7	3.9	4.5	Watch
	1.96	3.8	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.38)	4.14 ↓ (4.98)	4.6 ↓ (6.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Salzburg
56.2%

Draw
23%

Ried
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.7%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

18%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Red Bull Salzburg's form might have worsened.

Ried has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ried's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Red Bull Salzburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ried than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ried, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	5.9%	11.8%

Red Bull Salzburg - Ried Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Ried (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Red Bull Salzburg will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Red Bull Salzburg will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Salzburg (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Ried (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
52. Zawieschitzky C. (G) 3. Terzic A. 23. Gadou J. 2. Rasmussen J. (C) 37. Trummer T. 8. Kitano S. 29. Gourna-Douath L. 15. Diambou M. 7. Bischoff C. 21. Ratkov P. 49. Yeo M. K.	1. Leitner A. (G) 5. Havenaar N. 23. Sollbauer M. (C) 30. Steurer O. 12. Bajic A. 26. Mayer J. 6. Maart Y. 17. Pomer P. 7. Mutandwa K. 10. Grosse M. 29. van Wyk A.
Substitutes
20. Baidoo E. 5. Diabate S. 92. Hamzic S. (G) 14. Kjaergaard M. 13. Kratzig F. 22. Lainer S. 44. Schuster J. 11. Vertessen Y.	28. Bajlicz N. 15. Boguo J. 13. Kiedl P. 8. Rasner M. 18. Rossdorfer F. 9. Sane S. 3. Scherzer J. 24. Wernitznig C. 77. Wimmer F. (G)
Coaches
Letsch T.	Senft M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Bischoff C. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Mutandwa K. ⚽, van Wyk A. (A),
45', 2 - 1, Kitano S. ⚽, Bischoff C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Diambou M. ↓, Diabate S. ↑,
46', Gourna-Douath L. ↓, Kjaergaard M. ↑,
49', Havenaar N. 🟥,
54', Grosse M. ↓, Scherzer J. ↑,
59', Mutandwa K. ↓, Kiedl P. ↑,
59', Pomer P. ↓, Rossdorfer F. ↑,
67', Yeo M. K. ↓, Baidoo E. ↑,
68', Kitano S. ↓, Vertessen Y. ↑,
72', 3 - 1, Baidoo E. ⚽, Kjaergaard M. (A),
79', Kiedl P. ↓, Boguo J. ↑,
80', Maart Y. ↓, Rasner M. ↑,
81', 4 - 1, Ratkov P. ⚽, Vertessen Y. (A),
83', Bischoff C. ↓, Lainer S. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 4.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Ried may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Salzburg has had a series of home games.

In this match, Salzburg is the team to beat.

There will not play in Salzburg: Bidstrup M. (Hamstring Injury) Kawamura T. (Knee Injury) Konate K. (Knee Injury) Mellberg J. (Knee Injury) Omoregie J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sulzbacher V. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Ried: Kirnbauer D. (Ankle Injury) Mesic N. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 16 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 56:16. (average 2.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Salzburg won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 34:8. (average 2.8:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian OFB Cup
30.10.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Swarovski Tirol	3:1 ET ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
26.10.25	Austria Wien - Red Bull Salzburg	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Ferencvárosi	2:3 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
19.10.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Rheindorf Altach	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Rapid Wien	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLTW
- SV Ried
Austrian OFB Cup
29.10.25	Bregenz - Ried	0:1 ET ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
26.10.25	Ried - Rapid Wien	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Wolfsberger - Ried	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Ried - Swarovski Tirol	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Ried - Grazer AK	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
02.08.25	Ried - Red Bull Salzburg	2:2
26.02.23	Red Bull Salzburg - Ried	2:0
10.09.22	Ried - Red Bull Salzburg	0:3
Austrian OFB Cup
01.05.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Ried	3:0
Club Friendly
18.01.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Ried	3:1
Austrian Bundesliga
30.10.21	Ried - Red Bull Salzburg	2:2
01.08.21	Red Bull Salzburg - Ried	7:1

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