The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Red Star 51.5%
Draw 25.1%
Guingamp 23.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.5%
28.1%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.8%
27.2%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Star's performance.
Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guingamp might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Star that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guingamp could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
95.2%
0%
4.8%
Red Star - Guingamp Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Red Star will win (votes: 19 - 95%). Guingamp will win (votes: 1 - 5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 85.4% โ 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Red Star (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Red Star (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Poussin G. (G) 20. Durivaux D. 27. Danger B. 24. Lemonnier P. 22. Sylla D. 4. Pierret B. 98. Hachem R. (C) 3. Huard M. 7. Durand D. 91. Cabral K. 23. Ikanga J.
16. Ortola A. (G) 22. Sissoko A. 36. Demouchy A. 18. Nair S. 3. Matumona J. 11. Sagna A. 4. Louiserre D. (C) 39. Ahile T. 17. Mbemba F. 9. Mafouta L. 27. Kielt S.
Substitutes
9. Ba P. M. 29. Benali H. 1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 5. Escartin J. 21. Hachem A. 10. Khaoui S. E. 2. Magnin T.
1. Bartouche-Selbonne T. (G) 21. Demoncy Y. 32. Diakite I. 35. Fondja N. 37. Matondo T. 19. Samoura A. 8. Sidibe K.
Coaches
Poirier G.
Ripoll S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Mafouta L. ⚽, Matumona J. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Durand D. ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, Ikanga J. ⚽, Pierret B. (A),
43', 3 - 1, Hachem R. ⚽, Cabral K. (A),
45+2', Matumona J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Cabral K. 🟨,
63', Mbemba F. ↓, Samoura A. ↑,
63', Louiserre D. ↓, Sidibe K. ↑,
63', Kielt S. ↓, Demoncy Y. ↑,
68', Sylla D. ↓, Magnin T. ↑,
69', Cabral K. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
71', 3 - 2, Mafouta L. (Penalty Awarded),
77', Poussin G. ↓, Beunardeau Q. ↑,
77', Ahile T. ↓, Matondo T. ↑,
80', Sagna A. ↓, Diakite I. ↑,
87', Hachem R. ↓, Escartin J. ↑,
87', Durand D. ↓, Ba P. M. ↑,
90+5', Danger B. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).
Red Star is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Guingamp is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Red Star could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Red Star: Cisse K.
(Inactive)
Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Haag G.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Guingamp: Gomis D.
(Inactive)
Hatchi J.
(Inactive)
Hemia A.
(Knee Injury)
Koffi E.
(Inactive)
N'Landu D.
(Knee Injury)
Njoya Y.
(Inactive)
Ott G.
(Knee Injury)
Planeix I.
(Inactive)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 3.7:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Red Star won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
France
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Poussin G. (G) 
Sylla D. 
Ortola A. (G) 
Sissoko A. 
Nair S. 
Sagna A. 
Mafouta L. 
Khaoui S. E. 
Magnin T. 
Bartouche-Selbonne T. (G) 
