Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 31

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Nouste Camp (Pau)

Referee: Abed K. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free


	Pau		Guingamp

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.25	Watch
	2.88	3.3	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3.52	2.39
	3.04	3.47	2.24	Watch
	2.88	3.25	2.3
	2.93	3.41	2.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 (2.93)	3.36 ↓ (3.58)	2.31 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pau
31.9%

Draw
27.8%

Guingamp
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

26.1%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

25.7%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Pau have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	61.5%	23.1%

Pau - Guingamp Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Guingamp will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Salles E. (G) 26. Glossoa N. 97. Meddah D. 19. Kante 25. Ruiz J. (C) 3. Kalulu J. 84. Touzghar R. 21. Beusnard S. 20. Anziani J. 18. Sadik O. 9. Dong K.	16. Ortola A. (G) 22. Sissoko A. 36. Demouchy A. 18. Nair S. 29. Abdallah A. 21. Demoncy Y. 8. Sidibe K. 4. Louiserre D. (C) 19. Samoura A. 9. Mafouta L. 27. Kielt S.
Substitutes
8. Basse S. 14. Bobichon A. 6. Fall C. 11. Gasnier K. 2. Pouilly T. 22. Raveyre N. (G) 87. Zuliani E.	39. Ahile T. 1. Bartouche-Selbonne T. (G) 33. Gassama E. 37. Matondo T. 3. Matumona J. 17. Mbemba F. 11. Sagna A.
Coaches
Debes T.	Ripoll S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Sadik O. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Mafouta L. ⚽, Kielt S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 1, Dong K. ⚽, Glossoa N. (A),
54', Samoura A. ↓, Mbemba F. ↑,
62', Kielt S. ↓, Sagna A. ↑,
62', Sissoko A. ↓, Matumona J. ↑,
62', Demoncy Y. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
69', Glossoa N. ↓, Pouilly T. ↑,
75', Sadik O. ↓, Gasnier K. ↑,
76', Ruiz J. ↓, Fall C. ↑,
76', Meddah D. 🟨,
79', Pouilly T. 🟨,
90+4', Anziani J. ↓, Bobichon A. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Dong K. ⚽, Bobichon A. (A),
90+5', Dong K. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Guingamp will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Pau: Briancon A. (Inactive) Gaspar J. (Inactive) Karamoko S. (Inactive) Pouilly T. (Inactive) Sissoko O. (Injury) Versini G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Guingamp: Hatchi J. (Inactive) Hemia A. (Knee Injury) N'Landu D. (Knee Injury) Ott G. (Knee Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Pau won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 1.1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Guingamp: 2.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Pau FC	7	2	2	3	6:6	0	8
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10:12	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
10.04.26	Amiens - Pau	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Le Mans - Pau	4:0 ✺
20.03.26	Pau - Montpellier	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Clermont - Pau	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Pau - Bastia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLTWT
- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
10.04.26	Guingamp - Grenoble	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Annecy - Guingamp	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Guingamp - Reims	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Guingamp - Amiens	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Laval - Guingamp	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
08.11.25	Guingamp - Pau	2:2
10.05.25	Pau - Guingamp	1:3
18.10.24	Guingamp - Pau	0:1
27.04.24	Pau - Guingamp	1:2
26.08.23	Guingamp - Pau	4:0
22.04.23	Pau - Guingamp	2:1
30.07.22	Guingamp - Pau	4:0

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