Match Info

Date: 6 March 2021, Saturday


	Red Star		Lens

	1	X	2
	5.75	4	1.55	Watch
	5.25	3.5	1.6
	6	3.55	1.58	Watch
	5.6	3.5	1.58
	6.16	3.65	1.63
	6	3.7	1.57	Watch
	5.55	3.94	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.76 ↑ (5.21)	3.69 ↓ (3.95)	1.59 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Star
16.2%

Draw
25.2%

Lens
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

23.3%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

19.2%

71.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Red Star - Lens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Red Star is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lens is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Red Star could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Red Star have a series of home games.

Recently Lens have a series of guest games.

In this match Lens is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Red Star won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Red Star won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Star FC 93
Coupe De France
20.02.21	Red Star - Quevilly	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.02.21	Red Star - Blue Star	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 3
09.02.21	Red Star - Bourg-Péronnas	0:0 ✺
25.01.21	Le Mans - Red Star	2:1 ✺
15.01.21	Red Star - Boulogne	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLTLT
- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
03.03.21	Saint-Étienne - Lens	2:3 ✺
28.02.21	Angers - Lens	2:2 ✺
21.02.21	Lens - Dijon	2:1 ✺
13.02.21	Reims - Lens	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
10.02.21	Nantes - Lens	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
14.01.19	Red Star - Lens	1:0
04.08.18	Lens - Red Star	1:0
03.03.17	Red Star - Lens	2:3
30.09.16	Lens - Red Star	2:0
09.01.16	Red Star - Lens	1:2
08.08.15	Lens - Red Star	1:1

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