Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 13

Date: 29 November 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Auguste-Delaune (Reims)

Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 5
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
India	GXR World
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Caliente TV App
Montenegro	Arena Sport 4
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Russia	Okko Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	beIN Sports
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
World	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Reims		Lens

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.3
	3.15	3.35	2.28	Watch
	3.28	3.34	2.33
	3.24	3.31	2.35	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.25
	3.33	3.41	2.37	Watch
	3.15	3.35	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.8)	3.31 ↓ (3.46)	2.31 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Reims
29.9%

Draw
28.8%

Lens
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

27.5%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

28.1%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reims has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reims than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	36.1%	38.9%

Reims - Lens Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Reims will win (votes: 8 - 22.9%). Lens will win (votes: 14 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 37.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 23.8% – 56.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Diouf Y. (G) 23. Buta 21. Kipre C. 5. Agbadou E. 18. Akieme S. 6. Atangana Edoa V. 10. Teuma T. (C) 7. Ito J. 15. Munetsi M. 17. Nakamura K. 22. Diakite O.	30. Samba B. (C) 25. Khusanov A. 4. Danso K. 14. Medina F. 29. Frankowski P. 28. Thomasson A. 18. Diouf A. 21. Zaroury A. 36. Labeau Lascary R. 11. Fulgini A. 8. Nzola M.
Substitutes
25. De Smet T. 67. Diakhon M. 8. Fofana Y. 19. Gabriel Moscardo 72. Kone A. 64. Mohamed-Ali D. 20. Olliero A. (G) 11. Salama A. 55. Sangui N.	23. El Aynaoui N. 24. Gradit J. 13. Jhoanner Chavez 16. Koffi H. (G) 3. Machado D. 15. Ojediran H. 10. Pereira da Costa D. 20. Sarr M. 7. Sotoca F.
Coaches
Elsner L.	Still W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Thomasson A. ⚽,
32', Diouf A. 🟨,
42', Atangana Edoa V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Diouf A. ↓, El Aynaoui N. ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Nzola M. ⚽, Fulgini A. (A),
66', Labeau Lascary R. 🟨,
67', Atangana Edoa V. ↓, Diakhon M. ↑,
67', Teuma T. ↓, Kone A. ↑,
67', Nakamura K. ↓, Fofana Y. ↑,
71', Labeau Lascary R. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
78', Fulgini A. ↓, Ojediran H. ↑,
78', Zaroury A. ↓, Machado D. ↑,
81', Munetsi M. ↓, Gabriel Moscardo ↑,
81', Diakite O. ↓, Salama A. ↑,
88', Nzola M. ↓, Jhoanner Chavez ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reims won 0.

Reims is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lens is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Reims: Busi M. (Muscle Injury) Daramy M. (Knee Injury) Khadra R. (Knee Injury) Kone A. (Muscle Injury) Okumu J. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Lens: Aguilar R. (Shoulder Injury) Bane S. (Muscle Injury) Cabot J. (Knee Injury) Said W. (Thigh Injury) Satriano M. (Knee Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Reims won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22:29 (average 1.2:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Reims won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade de Reims
French Ligue 1
23.11.24	Reims - Lyon	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Le Havre - Reims	0:3 ✺
03.11.24	Toulouse - Reims	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Reims - Brest	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Auxerre - Reims	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLLL
- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
23.11.24	Lens - Olympique Marseille	1:3 ✺
09.11.24	Lens - Nantes	3:2 ✺
02.11.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Lens	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Lens - Lille	0:2 ✺
19.10.24	Saint-Étienne - Lens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
18.02.24	Reims - Lens	1:1
16.12.23	Lens - Reims	2:0
12.05.23	Lens - Reims	2:1
Club Friendly
21.12.22	Reims - Lens	1:2
French Ligue 1
04.09.22	Reims - Lens	1:1
08.05.22	Reims - Lens	1:2
01.10.21	Lens - Reims	2:0

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