Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 9

Date: 6 October 2023, Friday

Location: Stade Bauer (Paris - Saint-Ouen)


	Red Star		Villefranche

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	3.6
	1.87	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.81	3.64	4.55
	1.83	3.5	3.6
	1.79	3.68	3.98	Watch
	1.83	3.6	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.12)	3.59 ↑ (3.1)	3.86 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Star
50.5%

Draw
25.6%

Villefranche
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

29.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28.4%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Star's performance.

Villefranche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Star that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villefranche than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Red Star - Villefranche Predictions

Users Predictions: Red Star will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 27. Anani A. 11. Cisse K. 7. Durand D. 8. Eickmayer J. 3. Hachem R. 10. Ifnaoui M. 28. Kouagba L. 4. Mendy B. 2. Meyapya B. 25. Ndoye C. (C)	1. Pean S. (G) 3. Benaissa-Yahia F. 13. Camara B. 6. Da Silva C. 2. Henry K. 27. Kouadio J. 8. Louzif M. 23. Mai D. 4. Moussadek D. 20. Sergio R. (C) 11. Sidibe O.
Substitutes
29. Benali H. 17. Botella I. 26. Dembi F. J. 13. Doucoure F. 5. Gozzi P.	18. Abanda Mfomo D. 19. Ba I. 10. Blanc M. 16. Ehlinger E. (G) 12. M'Buyi C.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Red Star won 1.

Red Star in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Villefranche is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Red Star is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Red Star to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Red Star won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Red Star won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 3
02.10.23	Châteauroux - Red Star	1:2 ✺
22.09.23	Red Star - Avranches	3:0 ✺
15.09.23	Le Mans - Red Star	1:2 ✺
11.09.23	Red Star - Rouen FC	3:2 ✺
04.09.23	Martigues - Red Star	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWW
- FC Villefranche
French Ligue 3
29.09.23	Villefranche - Orleans	3:0 ✺
22.09.23	Versailles - Villefranche	0:1 ✺
15.09.23	Villefranche - Nîmes	1:1 ✺
08.09.23	Dijon - Villefranche	2:0 ✺
01.09.23	Villefranche - Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
20.01.23	Villefranche - Red Star	3:1
19.08.22	Red Star - Villefranche	1:0
25.02.22	Villefranche - Red Star	0:0
17.09.21	Red Star - Villefranche	0:1
30.03.21	Villefranche - Red Star	2:2
11.09.20	Red Star - Villefranche	0:2
14.02.20	Villefranche - Red Star	0:0

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