Match Info

FRANCE: COUPE DE FRANCE - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Châteauroux		Red Star

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.15
	3.2	3.1	2.2
	3.2	3.2	2.05
	3.25	3.13	2.3
	3.3	3.1	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.23)	3.11 ↓ (3.13)	2.19 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Châteauroux
28.4%

Draw
29.6%

Red Star
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

29.5%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

28.4%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Châteauroux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Châteauroux - Red Star Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Châteauroux won 2.

Recent matches Châteauroux is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Red Star is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Châteauroux could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Red Star will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Châteauroux won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Châteauroux won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Châteauroux
French Ligue 3
13.11.23	Le Mans - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
03.11.23	Châteauroux - Rouen FC	0:3 ✺
20.10.23	Martigues - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
11.10.23	Châteauroux - Sochaux	1:1 ✺
06.10.23	GOAL FC - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLTTT
- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 3
10.11.23	Red Star - Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue	2:1 ✺
06.11.23	Niort - Red Star	1:1 ✺
23.10.23	Red Star - Cholet	2:0 ✺
11.10.23	Nancy - Red Star	1:1 ✺
06.10.23	Red Star - Villefranche	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
02.10.23	Châteauroux - Red Star	1:2
19.05.23	Châteauroux - Red Star	0:1
13.01.23	Red Star - Châteauroux	3:0
08.04.22	Châteauroux - Red Star	4:2
05.11.21	Red Star - Châteauroux	0:2
French Ligue 2
25.01.19	Red Star - Châteauroux	1:3
17.08.18	Châteauroux - Red Star	1:1

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