Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 42

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Redditch United		Hitchin Town

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.4	5.25
	1.47	4.5	5
	1.46	5.15	5.15
	1.48	4.92	5.34	Watch
	1.42	4.75	5.41
	1.47	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.8)	4.7 ↑ (3.64)	5.19 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Redditch United
62.9%

Draw
19.5%

Hitchin Town
17.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.7%

25.1%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

20.7%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Redditch United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Redditch United's performance.

Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hitchin Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Redditch United than the current prediction. (-21.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Redditch United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hitchin Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Redditch United - Hitchin Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Cyrus B. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Boothe R. ⚽,
34', 3 - 0, Dudley-Toole D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 4 - 0, Cyrus B. ⚽,
75', Smith B. 🟥,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Hitchin is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Redditch won 2.

Recent matches Redditch is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hitchin is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Redditch is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Redditch won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 30:28 (average 1.5:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Redditch won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:10 (average 1.8:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Redditch United
English Southern League Central Division
21.04.25	Banbury United - Redditch United	4:0 ✺
18.04.25	Redditch United - Harborough Town	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Biggleswade Town - Redditch United	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Redditch United - Stratford Town	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Redditch United - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTTW
- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
21.04.25	Hitchin Town - Bedford Town	1:2 ✺
18.04.25	Alvechurch - Hitchin Town	4:1 ✺
12.04.25	Hitchin Town - Sudbury Town	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Kettering Town - Hitchin Town	2:2 ✺
29.03.25	Hitchin Town - Royston Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
14.01.25	Hitchin Town - Redditch United	2:1
15.01.24	Redditch United - Hitchin Town	3:0
09.09.23	Hitchin Town - Redditch United	2:2
01.04.23	Redditch United - Hitchin Town	2:1
28.11.22	Hitchin Town - Redditch United	2:1
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Hitchin Town - Redditch United	0:3
English Southern League Central Division
14.02.22	Hitchin Town - Redditch United	1:1

Redditch United - Hitchin Town