Match Info

Serie B - Round 8

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo)

Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, Destination Calcio, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox
World	Onefootball


	Palermo		Modena

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.95	3.4	Watch
	2.25	3	3.25
	2.36	2.98	3.72
	2.31	2.99	3.31	Watch
	2.34	3.06	3.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.16)	3 ↓ (3.17)	3.43 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palermo
41%

Draw
31.5%

Modena
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

29.7%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

29.9%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.6%	42.9%	9.5%

Palermo - Modena Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). Modena will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 26.2% – 69%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Palermo (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
66. Joronen J. (G) 23. Diakite S. 29. Peda P. 32. Ceccaroni P. 27. Pierozzi N. 8. Segre J. 10. Ranocchia F. 3. Augello T. 5. Palumbo A. 9. Brunori M. (C) 20. Pohjanpalo J.	1. Chichizola L. (G) 77. Tonoli D. 28. Adorni D. 20. Nieling B. 7. Zampano F. 8. Santoro S. 16. Gerli F. (C) 5. Sersanti A. 98. Zanimacchia L. 23. Di Mariano F. 9. Gliozzi E.
Substitutes
30. Avella M. (G) 19. Bereszynski B. 28. Blin A. 31. Corona G. 17. Giovane S. 6. Gomes C. 1. Gomis A. (G) 21. Le Douaron J. 14. Vasic A. 72. Veroli D.	10. Caso G. 33. Cauz C. 29. Cotali M. 92. Defrel G. 25. Dellavalle A. 6. Magnino L. 17. Massolin Y. 11. Mendes P. 19. Nador S. 22. Pezzolato M. (G) 3. Ponsi F. 18. Pyyhtia N.
Coaches
Inzaghi F.	Sottil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Tonoli D. ↓, Dellavalle A. ↑,
17', Gerli F. 🟨,
18', Segre J. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Segre J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Segre J. ↓, Gomes C. ↑,
56', Brunori M. ↓, Le Douaron J. ↑,
56', Ranocchia F. ↓, Blin A. ↑,
65', Di Mariano F. ↓, Massolin Y. ↑,
65', Gerli F. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
66', Sersanti A. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
70', Diakite S. ↓, Bereszynski B. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Bereszynski B. (Own goal),
79', Gliozzi E. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
82', Palumbo A. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 4.

In recent matches, Palermo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Modena is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Palermo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Palermo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Palermo: Bardi F. (Foot Injury) Gomis A. (Arm Injury) Ranocchia F. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Modena: Beyuku G. (International duty) Pergreffi A. (Inactive) Strizzolo L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Palermo: Bani M. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Palermo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 2.2:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Palermo - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.61%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
04.10.25	Spezia - Palermo	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Palermo - Venezia	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Cesena - Palermo	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
23.09.25	Udinese - Palermo	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
19.09.25	Palermo - Bari	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTTLW
- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
05.10.25	Modena - Virtus Entella	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Carrarese - Modena	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Modena - Pescara	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Mantova - Modena	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	Modena - Bari	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
12.01.25	Palermo - Modena	2:0
19.10.24	Modena - Palermo	2:2
20.01.24	Palermo - Modena	4:2
07.10.23	Modena - Palermo	0:2
17.03.23	Palermo - Modena	5:2
29.10.22	Modena - Palermo	0:2
Coppa Italia
23.08.14	Palermo - Modena	0:3

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