Match Info

Serie B - Round 30

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio San Nicola (Bari)

Referee: Pairetto L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Bari		Reggiana

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.6	Watch
	2.18	3	3.45
	2.24	3.15	3.84
	2.13	3.16	3.61	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.5
	2.19	2.98	3.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.23)	3.03 ↓ (3.16)	3.61 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bari
43.1%

Draw
30.9%

Reggiana
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29.6%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

28.5%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	50%	8.3%

Bari - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Reggiana will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Bari (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cerofolini M. (G) 51. Cistana A. 26. Odenthal C. 13. Mantovani V. (C) 24. Dickmann L. 18. Maggiore G. 80. Artioli F. 93. Dorval M. 19. Esteves T. 17. Rao E. 11. Moncini G.	1. Micai A. (G) 2. Papetti A. 14. Quaranta D. 43. Bonetti S. 23. Rover M. 26. Bertagnoli M. 16. Reinhart T. 90. Portanova M. (C) 33. Tripaldelli A. 80. Girma N. 9. Novakovich A.
Substitutes
10. Bellomo N. 27. Braunoder M. 20. Cavuoti N. 49. De Pieri G. 9. Gytkjaer C. 30. Mane M. 43. Nikolaou D. 8. Pagano R. 28. Piscopo K. 1. Pissardo M. (G) 25. Pucino R. 66. Traore D.	10. Bozhanaj K. 45. Cardinali M. (G) 8. Charlys 77. Fumagalli T. 93. Lambourde M. 17. Libutti L. 47. Mateus Lusuardi 44. Mendicino L. 66. Pinelli P. 12. Seculin A. (G) 6. Vallarelli F.
Coaches
Longo M.	Rubinacci L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Artioli F. ⚽, Rao E. (A),
15', 2 - 0, Rao E. ⚽, Moncini G. (A),
16', Artioli F. 🟨,
18', Quaranta D. 🟨,
42', Maggiore G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Tripaldelli A. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
48', 3 - 0, Rao E. ⚽,
49', Girma N. 🟨,
57', 4 - 0, Moncini G. ⚽, Artioli F. (A),
60', Rao E. ↓, Pagano R. ↑,
60', Artioli F. ↓, Braunoder M. ↑,
65', Esteves T. ↓, Cavuoti N. ↑,
67', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Fumagalli T. ↑,
67', Quaranta D. ↓, Mateus Lusuardi ↑,
67', Reinhart T. ↓, Charlys ↑,
70', Charlys 🟨,
77', Moncini G. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
77', Dickmann L. ↓, Mane M. ↑,
80', Girma N. ↓, Mendicino L. ↑,
86', Bozhanaj K. 🟨,
89', 4 - 1, Mateus Lusuardi ⚽, Bertagnoli M. (A),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Reggiana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bari might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Bari: Darboe E. (Thigh Injury) Piscopo K. (Inactive) Sibilli G. (Suspended) Verreth M. (Injury)

There will not play in Reggiana: Bozhanaj K. (Inactive) Bozzolan A. (Injury) Paz Y. (Knee Injury) Rozzio P. (Inactive) Tripaldelli A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Reggiana: Belardinelli L. (Inactive) Gondo C. (Inactive) Vicari F. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bari won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Bari won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Reggiana - the odds 3.27 are the expected chance of winning is 28.56%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
08.03.26	Pescara - Bari	4:0 ✺
04.03.26	Bari - Empoli	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Sampdoria - Bari	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Padova - Bari	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Bari - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWWTL
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
07.03.26	Venezia - Reggiana	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Reggiana - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:4 ✺
28.02.26	Spezia - Reggiana	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Reggiana - Avellino	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Empoli - Reggiana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
18.10.25	Reggiana - Bari	3:1
12.01.25	Reggiana - Bari	0:0
02.11.24	Bari - Reggiana	2:2
27.01.24	Bari - Reggiana	0:2
07.10.23	Reggiana - Bari	1:1

Bari - Reggiana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide