Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 14

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Egao Kenko Stadium (Kumamoto)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Roasso Kumamoto		Reilac Shiga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.71	3.4	4.2
	1.7	3.4	4.35	Watch
	1.74	3.41	4.53
	1.73	3.6	4.51	Watch
	1.65	3.4	4.5
	1.69	3.4	4.73	Watch
	1.76	3.5	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.76)	3.44 ↓ (3.5)	4.46 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roasso Kumamoto
53.2%

Draw
26.4%

Reilac Shiga
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

26.4%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

25.9%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roasso Kumamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Reilac Shiga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reilac Shiga than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Roasso Kumamoto - Reilac Shiga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sato S. (G) 4. Yakushida R. 24. Ri T. 6. Iwashita W. 41. Omoto Y. 8. Kamimura S. 27. Negishi K. 39. Aoki S. 10. Katori Y. 7. Fujii K. 11. Bae Jeong-Min	1. Ito K. (G) 26. Tsunoda S. 55. Onodera K. 4. Ide K. 77. Hojo S. 47. Watanabe R. 8. Nakamura K. 13. Koizumi R. 7. Kubota K. 17. Kinoshita R. 99. Okuda H.
Substitutes
18. Handai M. 14. Ishihara O. 5. Kobayashi K. 22. Matsuda E. 15. Mishima S. 17. Nagai S. 25. Nasu K. 23. Sato Y. (G) 19. Watanabe R.	44. Fujitani S. 10. Hitomi T. 15. Kikushima T. 3. Miyagi M. 11. Miyake K. 41. Motoyoshi Y. (G) 24. Romero F. 16. Suzuki S. 28. Tabei Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Aoki S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Ide K. (Own goal),
55', Kinoshita R. 🟨,
60', Okuda H. ↓, Hitomi T. ↑,
60', Kubota K. ↓, Kikushima T. ↑,
67', Watanabe R. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
67', Fujii K. ↓, Nasu K. ↑,
67', Bae Jeong-Min ↓, Handai M. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Omoto Y. ⚽, Handai M. (A),
76', Kinoshita R. ↓, Miyake K. ↑,
76', Onodera K. ↓, Miyagi M. ↑,
79', Katori Y. ↓, Ishihara O. ↑,
79', Omoto Y. ↓, Matsuda E. ↑,
86', Aoki S. ↓, Kobayashi K. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Reilac Shiga has had a series of home games.

In this match, Kumamoto is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kumamoto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2 J3 League
29.04.26	Oita Trinita - Roasso Kumamoto	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Gainare Tottori - Roasso Kumamoto	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Roasso Kumamoto - Sagan Tosu	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Roasso Kumamoto - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:5 ✺
04.04.26	Ryūkyū - Roasso Kumamoto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLLW
- Reilac Shiga FC
Japan J2 J3 League
29.04.26	Reilac Shiga - Gainare Tottori	1:3 ✺
25.04.26	Sagan Tosu - Reilac Shiga	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Reilac Shiga - Oita Trinita	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Reilac Shiga - Ryūkyū	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Reilac Shiga - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
08.03.26	Reilac Shiga - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0

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