Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 5

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Auguste-Delaune (Reims)

Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Pickx+ Sports 1, Pickx+ Sports 1, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV, TV5
Chile	ESPN 2
China	QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France, TV5 Monde Europe
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	K Sport 2
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Philippines	Cignal Play
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-america	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	beIN Sports, DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Ligue 1 Pass
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, DAZN USA, FuboTV
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+, Fanatiz, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Reims		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	7	5	1.4	Watch
	6.75	5	1.42
	7.3	4.9	1.4
	7.6	5.16	1.41
	7.16	5.13	1.43	Watch
	7.5	4.8	1.4
	7.55	5.35	1.44	Watch
	7.3	4.9	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.27 ↑ (5.87)	5.03 ↑ (4.56)	1.41 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TV5MONDE

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Current Win Probability

Reims
13.2%

Draw
19%

Paris Saint-Germain
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

20.9%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

20.6%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reims has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reims than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.4%	12.2%	85.4%

Reims - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (34 of 40 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.93% – 96.07%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Diouf Y. (G) 23. Buta 21. Kipre C. 5. Agbadou E. (C) 18. Akieme S. 6. Atangana Edoa V. 71. Fofana Y. 15. Munetsi M. 7. Ito J. 22. Diakite O. 17. Nakamura K.	39. Safonov M. (G) 33. Zaire-Emery W. 5. Marquinhos (C) 51. Pacho W. 35. Beraldo L. 19. Lee Kang-In 17. Vitinha 87. Neves J. 23. Kolo Muani R. 14. Doue D. 29. Barcola B.
Substitutes
9. Daramy M. 25. De Smet T. 67. Diakhon M. 44. Henry K. 14. Khadra R. 20. Olliero A. (G) 11. Salama A. 55. Sangui N. 10. Teuma T.	10. Dembele O. 4. El Hannach N. 24. Mayulu S. 49. Mbaye I. 25. Mendes N. 8. Ruiz F. 37. Skriniar M. 80. Tenas A. (G) 42. Zague Y.
Coaches
Elsner L.	Luis Enrique

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Nakamura K. ⚽,
37', Pacho W. 🟨,
44', Munetsi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Fofana Y. 🟨,
65', Doue D. ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
67', Fofana Y. ↓, Sangui N. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Dembele O. ⚽, Neves J. (A),
70', Vitinha ↓, Ruiz F. ↑,
77', Atangana Edoa V. ↓, Teuma T. ↑,
77', Nakamura K. ↓, Salama A. ↑,
78', Diakite O. ↓, Khadra R. ↑,
83', Lee Kang-In ↓, Mayulu S. ↑,
83', Beraldo L. ↓, Mendes N. ↑,
88', Khadra R. ↓, De Smet T. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reims won 0.

Recent matches Reims is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

PSG is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Reims could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match PSG is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Reims: Akieme S. (Broken jawbone) Daramy M. (Knee Injury) Gabriel Moscardo (Injury) Kone A. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in PSG: Asensio M. (Thigh Injury) Donnarumma G. (Muscle Injury) Hakimi A. (Rest) Hernandez L. (Knee Injury) Kimpembe P. (Convalescence) Ramos G. (Ankle Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Reims won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 16-42.

Including matches at home between the teams Reims won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade de Reims
French Ligue 1
15.09.24	Nantes - Reims	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Reims - Rennes	2:1 ✺
25.08.24	Olympique Marseille - Reims	2:2 ✺
17.08.24	Reims - Lille	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Vissel Kobe - Reims	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWTLL
- Paris Saint-Germain
UEFA Champions League
18.09.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Girona	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.09.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Brest	3:1 ✺
01.09.24	Lille - Paris Saint-Germain	1:3 ✺
23.08.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Montpellier	6:0 ✺
16.08.24	Le Havre - Paris Saint-Germain	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
10.03.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Reims	2:2
11.11.23	Reims - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3
29.01.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Reims	1:1
08.10.22	Reims - Paris Saint-Germain	0:0
23.01.22	Paris Saint-Germain - Reims	4:0
29.08.21	Reims - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2
16.05.21	Paris Saint-Germain - Reims	4:0

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