Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 28

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Evandro Almeida (Belem)

Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Angola	Z Sports 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol
Germany	Sportdigital1+
Israel	Sport 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Suriname	SCCN
Usa	Fanatiz


	Remo		Santos

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.2	2.45	Watch
	2.80	3.30	2.50
	2.8	3.2	2.42	Watch
	2.99	3.37	2.54
	2.79	3.42	2.52	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.5
	2.92	3.31	2.52	Watch
	2.85	3.3	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.6)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)	2.48 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Remo
33.1%

Draw
28.7%

Santos
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

28.5%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

28.7%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Remo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Remo than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Remo - Santos Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Remo will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Santos will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Santos (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santos (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 79. Marcelinho 13. Marllon (C) 18. Tchamba D. 6. Marlon 14. Picco L. 28. Ze Welison 21. Galeano A. 15. Vitor Bueno 55. Ze Ricardo 19. Gabriel Taliari	1. Diogenes (G) 23. Rodinei 4. Lucas Verissimo 14. Luan Peres 31. Escobar G. 6. Arthur Melo 28. Oliva C. 8. Gabriel Bontempo 48. Gustavo Henrique 33. Rony 9. Gabriel Barbosa (C)
Substitutes
11. Alef Manga 26. David Braga 9. Gabriel Poveda 97. Ivan (G) 10. Jaderson 5. Leo Andrade 2. Matheus Alexandre 61. Tico 22. Yago Pikachu 94. Ygor Vinhas (G)	17. Caballero G. 27. Fernandes D. 25. Gabriel Menino 18. Igor Vinicius 42. Joao Alencar 26. Joao Ananias 34. Joao Paulo (G) 5. Joao Schmidt 45. Lima 30. Miguelito 81. Pierri S. 16. Thaciano
Coaches
Leo Conde	Cuca

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Escobar G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', Ze Welison 🟨,
63', Vitor Bueno ↓, Alef Manga ↑,
71', Gustavo Henrique ↓, Lima ↑,
73', Gabriel Barbosa 🟨,
74', Ze Ricardo ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
74', Picco L. ↓, Jaderson ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Rony ⚽, Gabriel Barbosa (A),
80', Galeano A. ↓, Tico ↑,
80', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Gabriel Poveda ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Marllon ⚽, Yago Pikachu (A),
85', Gabriel Poveda 🟨,
87', 1 - 2, Gabriel Barbosa ⚽, Lucas Verissimo (A),
90+3', Gabriel Poveda 🟨,
90+4', Luan Peres 🟨,
90+4', Gabriel Bontempo 🟨,
90+4', Gabriel Barbosa ↓, Thaciano ↑,
90+4', Gabriel Bontempo ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
90+9', Rony ↓, Caballero G. ↑,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 19th in the Relegation ~ Serie B and 10th in the Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

Remo is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Santos shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Remo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Remo: Joao Lucas (Knee Injury) Matheus Felipe (Yellow Cards).

Confirmed absences for Santos: Barreal A. (Thigh Injury) Everton (Yellow Cards) Neymar (Thigh Injury) Vinicius Lira (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Remo: Mayk (Inactive).

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Remo has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:3 (averaging 0:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Remo against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Santos	29	11	9	9	45:43	2	42
19	Remo	30	5	10	15	33:48	-15	25

Last Results with these Odds

Santos - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.93%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clube Do Remo
Brazilian Serie A
14.09.26	Bahia - Remo	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Remo - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
31.08.26	Remo - Coritiba	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	Fluminense - Remo	2:1 ✺
17.08.26	Internacional RS - Remo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLLT
- Santos FC
Copa Sudamericana
16.09.26	Atlético Mineiro - Santos	5:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.09.26	Santos - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.09.26	Santos - Atlético Mineiro	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
06.09.26	Internacional RS - Santos	2:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
02.09.26	Santos - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
04.08.26	Remo - Santos	0:1
01.08.26	Santos - Remo	0:0
Brazilian Serie A
02.04.26	Santos - Remo	2:0

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