Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 27

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador)

Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol
Mexico	Azteca Deportes
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV
Usa	Fanatiz


	Bahia		Remo

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.33	6.50	Watch
	1.46	4.75	6.25
	1.41	4.60	6.75	Watch
	1.47	4.71	7.40
	1.47	4.76	6.33	Watch
	1.41	4.85	7.65
	1.51	4.48	6.34	Watch
	1.44	4.60	6.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.47)	4.64 ↑ (4.4)	6.73 ↓ (6.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia
65.5%

Draw
20.4%

Remo
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

21.6%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

20.9%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Remo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Remo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Bahia - Remo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Remo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Bahia (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bahia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ronaldo Strada (G) 33. David Duarte 44. Marcos Victor 4. Kanu 46. Luciano Juba 11. Rodrigo 5. Nicolas Acevedo (C) 6. Jean Lucas 99. Olivera C. 9. Veliz A. 16. Erick Pulga	88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 27. Ze Ivaldo 4. Matheus Felipe 18. Tchamba D. 22. Yago Pikachu (C) 14. Picco L. 8. Patrick 6. Marlon 21. Galeano A. 55. Ze Ricardo 7. Jaja
Substitutes
7. Ademir 8. Caio Alexandre 63. David Martins 27. Everaldo 10. Everton Ribeiro 31. Gomez R. 17. Herrera G. (G) 43. Luiz Gustavo 3. Moreno M. 77. Ruan Pablo 12. Willian Jose 66. Ze Guilherme	11. Alef Manga 26. David Braga 9. Gabriel Poveda 19. Gabriel Taliari 97. Ivan (G) 10. Jaderson 5. Leo Andrade 13. Marllon 2. Matheus Alexandre 15. Vitor Bueno 94. Ygor Vinhas (G) 28. Ze Welison
Coaches
Mucke R.	Leo Conde

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Nicolas Acevedo 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Jean Lucas ⚽, Olivera C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ze Ricardo ↓, Vitor Bueno ↑,
46', Tchamba D. ↓, Gabriel Taliari ↑,
46', Picco L. ↓, Ze Welison ↑,
50', Jaja ↓, Alef Manga ↑,
70', Matheus Felipe 🟨,
72', Marcos Victor ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
79', Erick Pulga ↓, Ademir ↑,
79', Nicolas Acevedo ↓, Caio Alexandre ↑,
79', Jean Lucas ↓, Everton Ribeiro ↑,
84', Galeano A. ↓, Gabriel Poveda ↑,
90+1', 2 - 0, Luciano Juba (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Veliz A. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
90+6', 2 - 1, Vitor Bueno (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Bahia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Remo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Remo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bahia is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Bahia: Erick (Yellow Cards) Leo Vieira (Knee Injury) Sanabria M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Remo: Edson Fernando (Red Card) Joao Lucas (Knee Injury) Marcelinho (Yellow Cards)

We predict that Bahia will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Bahia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Bahia	29	12	10	7	43:36	7	46
19	Remo	30	5	10	15	33:48	-15	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie A
05.09.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Bahia	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Bahia - Internacional RS	3:2 ✺
23.08.26	Vitória Salvador - Bahia	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Chapecoense - Bahia	3:3 ✺
09.08.26	Bahia - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWTT
- Clube Do Remo
Brazilian Serie A
06.09.26	Remo - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
31.08.26	Remo - Coritiba	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	Fluminense - Remo	2:1 ✺
17.08.26	Internacional RS - Remo	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Remo - Atlético Mineiro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
13.05.26	Remo - Bahia	2:1
22.04.26	Bahia - Remo	1:3
Brazilian Serie A
22.03.26	Remo - Bahia	4:1

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