Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 11

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Evandro Almeida (Belem)

Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TV Globo Internacional


	Remo		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.95	3.4	2.35
	2.88	3.05	2.52	Watch
	3.02	3.3	2.58
	2.9	3.32	2.5	Watch
	2.88	3.1	2.4
	3.13	3.28	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.79)	3.24 ↓ (3.41)	2.47 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Remo
32.3%

Draw
29.3%

Vasco da Gama
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

27.8%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

28.4%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Remo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Remo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Remo - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 79. Marcelinho 13. Marllon (C) 18. Tchamba D. 98. Mayk 28. Ze Welison 55. Ze Ricardo 37. Jaja 8. Patrick 11. Alef Manga 19. Gabriel Taliari	1. Leo Jardim (G) 96. Paulo Henrique 4. Saldivia A. 30. Robert Renan 66. Cuiabano 23. Thiago Mendes (C) 10. Rojas J. 88. Cauan Barros 3. Tche Tche 11. Andres Gomez 7. David
Substitutes
26. David Braga 33. Diego Hernandez 99. Gabriel Poveda 7. Giovanni Pavani 97. Ivan (G) 10. Jaderson 27. Kayky Almeida 5. Leo Andrade 2. Matheus Alexandre 12. Patrick de Paula 14. Picco L. 17. Tassano C.	28. Adson 20. Brenner 46. Cuesta C. 13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 18. Hinestroza M. 25. Hugo Moura 98. JP 43. Lucas Freitas 6. Lucas Piton 9. Matheus Franca 17. Moreira N. 77. Spinelli C.
Coaches
Leo Conde	Renato Gaucho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Cuiabano 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Andres Gomez ⚽, Thiago Mendes (A),
59', David Braga ↓, Jaderson ↑,
64', Cauan Barros ↓, JP ↑,
64', David ↓, Brenner ↑,
77', Alef Manga ↓, Diego Hernandez ↑,
77', Patrick ↓, Ze Ricardo ↑,
78', Rojas J. ↓, Hinestroza M. ↑,
83', Saldivia A. 🟨,
84', 1 - 1, Marllon ⚽, Diego Hernandez (A),
89', Tche Tche ↓, Spinelli C. ↑,
90+1', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Gabriel Poveda ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 12).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Vasco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Remo: Cufre B. (Inactive) Eduardo Melo (Hamstring Injury) Freitas (Inactive) Joao Lucas (Knee Injury) Patrick de Paula (Inactive) Tachtsidis P. (Inactive) Thalisson (Inactive) Vitor Bueno (Injury) Yago Pikachu (Red Card)

There will not play in Vasco: Brenner (Inactive) Jair (Knee Injury) Mateus Carvalho (Knee Injury) Rodriguez J. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Remo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Remo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Vasco	29	9	8	12	36:42	-6	35
19	Remo	30	5	10	15	33:48	-15	25

Last Results with these Odds

Vasco da Gama - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 38.13%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clube Do Remo
Brazilian Copa Norte
08.04.26	Remo - Amazonas	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.04.26	Grêmio - Remo	0:0 ✺
02.04.26	Santos - Remo	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
29.03.26	Remo - Monte Roraima	1:1 ✺
26.03.26	Porto Velho - Remo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTLTL
- Vasco da Gama
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.26	Barracas Central - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
04.04.26	Vasco da Gama - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Coritiba - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Vasco da Gama - Grêmio	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Vasco da Gama - Fluminense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
19.11.21	Vasco da Gama - Remo	2:2
13.08.21	Remo - Vasco da Gama	2:1
Copa do Brasil
27.04.16	Vasco da Gama - Remo	2:1
13.04.16	Remo - Vasco da Gama	0:1

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