Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Florencio Sola (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Portugal	Sport TV1
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter


	Barracas Central		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.4	3	Watch
	2.32	3.05	3.05	Watch
	2.38	3.1	3.33
	2.24	3.19	3.41	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.32	3.08	3.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.85)	3.12 ↓ (3.22)	3.17 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barracas Central
40.4%

Draw
30.1%

Vasco da Gama
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

29.3%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

29.7%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barracas Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barracas Central's performance.

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vasco da Gama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barracas Central that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vasco da Gama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	15%	35%

Barracas Central - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Barracas Central will win (votes: 10 - 50%). Vasco will win (votes: 7 - 35%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barracas Central: 28.1% – 71.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Vasco (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barracas Central will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Barracas Central (votes: 3 - 60%). Vasco (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Espinola J. (G) 4. Martinez D. 2. Capraro N. 32. Tobio F. 31. Demartini N. 6. Insua R. 8. Porra T. 5. Miloc D. 10. Tapia I. (C) 20. Candia J. 9. Morales G.	13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 46. Cuesta C. (C) 43. Lucas Freitas 64. Walace Fernandes 2. Rodriguez J. 98. JP 25. Hugo Moura 82. Riquelme Avellar 17. Moreira N. 9. Matheus Franca 77. Spinelli C.
Substitutes
13. Barrios R. 28. Bogarin R. 11. Briasco N. 37. Campi G. 18. Duarte M. 25. Gordillo Y. 16. Guaraz I. A. 33. Maroni G. 30. Mino M. (G) 79. Puig M. 15. Rak Y. 24. Taborda E.	28. Adson 54. Alison 80. Andre B. 74. Andrey Fernandes 87. Breninho 50. Gustavo Guimaraes 18. Hinestroza M. 60. Joao Vitor 86. Lukas Zuccarello 37. Pablo (G) 83. Ramon Rique 67. Samuel
Coaches
Insua R.	Renato Gaucho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Morales G. ↓, Briasco N. ↑,
66', Matheus Franca 🟨,
66', Martinez D. 🟨,
68', Porra T. 🟨,
71', Matheus Franca ↓, Adson ↑,
71', Riquelme Avellar ↓, Hinestroza M. ↑,
77', Tapia I. ↓, Puig M. ↑,
79', Puig M. 🟥,
82', Candia J. 🟨,
82', Candia J. ↓, Maroni G. ↑,
82', Moreira N. ↓, Lukas Zuccarello ↑,
89', Briasco N. 🟨,
90+1', Lukas Zuccarello 🟨,
90+2', Martinez D. ↓, Barrios R. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Barracas Central may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Barracas Central is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of Copa Sudamericana for now

Vasco: 20.19%

Last Results with these Odds

Barracas Central - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 33.16%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barracas Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.04.26	Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín	1:2 ✺
23.03.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
16.03.26	Barracas Central - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Argentinos Juniors - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.1 LTWWT
- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A
04.04.26	Vasco da Gama - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Coritiba - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Vasco da Gama - Grêmio	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Vasco da Gama - Fluminense	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LTWWT

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