Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 9

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Couto Pereira (Curitiba)

Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol
Usa	Fanatiz


	Coritiba		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.82	Watch
	2.58	2.98	2.88	Watch
	2.69	3.11	3
	2.6	3.1	2.94	Watch
	2.4	3	2.9
	2.61	3.11	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.54)	3.07 ↓ (3.14)	2.92 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coritiba
36.8%

Draw
30.8%

Vasco da Gama
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

30.3%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

31.4%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Coritiba - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Vasco will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Vasco (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vasco (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pedro Rangel (G) 2. Tinga 23. Tiago Coser 55. Jacy 26. Bruno Melo 29. Willian Oliveira 19. Gomez S. (C) 11. Lucas Ronier 10. Josue 32. Pedro Rocha 7. Lavega J.	1. Leo Jardim (G) 96. Paulo Henrique 4. Saldivia A. 30. Robert Renan 6. Lucas Piton 3. Tche Tche 25. Hugo Moura 23. Thiago Mendes (C) 17. Moreira N. 7. David 18. Hinestroza M.
Substitutes
28. Fabinho 6. Felipe Jonatan 88. Fernando Sobral 87. Gabriel Leite (G) 39. Gustavo 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 13. Keiller (G) 20. Keno 78. Renato Marques 4. Rodrigo Moledo 21. Thiago Santos 36. Vini Paulista	28. Adson 20. Brenner 88. Cauan Barros 46. Cuesta C. 13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 60. Joao Vitor 98. JP 43. Lucas Freitas 9. Matheus Franca 82. Riquelme Avellar 10. Rojas J. 64. Walace Fernandes
Coaches
Fernando Seabra	Renato Gaucho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Tche Tche ⚽, Paulo Henrique (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Willian Oliveira ↓, Vini Paulista ↑,
62', Lavega J. 🟨,
62', David ↓, Brenner ↑,
62', Hugo Moura ↓, Cauan Barros ↑,
63', Lavega J. ↓, Keno ↑,
69', Vini Paulista 🟨,
72', Moreira N. ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
77', Bruno Melo ↓, Felipe Jonatan ↑,
77', Tinga ↓, Joao Pedro Chermont ↑,
78', Gomez S. ↓, Fabinho ↑,
85', Lucas Piton ↓, Riquelme Avellar ↑,
85', Hinestroza M. ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Saldivia A. (Own goal),
90+3', Paulo Henrique 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 1.

In recent matches, Coritiba has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vasco is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Coritiba	29	10	8	11	37:47	-10	38
14	Vasco	29	9	8	12	36:42	-6	35

Last Results with these Odds

Vasco da Gama - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 32.32%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A
22.03.26	Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Mirassol - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Coritiba - Remo	1:0 ✺
11.03.26	Corinthians - Coritiba	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Coritiba - São Paulo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 LWWWL
- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A
22.03.26	Vasco da Gama - Grêmio	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Vasco da Gama - Fluminense	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama	3:3 ✺
12.03.26	Vasco da Gama - Palmeiras	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
01.03.26	Fluminense - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
21.09.23	Vasco da Gama - Coritiba	5:1
11.05.23	Coritiba - Vasco da Gama	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
16.10.21	Vasco da Gama - Coritiba	2:1
13.07.21	Coritiba - Vasco da Gama	1:1
Brazilian Serie A
16.01.21	Vasco da Gama - Coritiba	0:1
20.09.20	Coritiba - Vasco da Gama	1:0
21.10.17	Vasco da Gama - Coritiba	1:1

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