Match Info

Date: 3 April 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Renate		Olbia

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.75
	1.8	3.1	4.33
	1.75	3.3	4
	1.8	3.2	4
	1.81	3.52	4.39
	1.91	3.1	4.2
	1.8	3.35	4.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.02)	3.25 ↑ (2.98)	4.3 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renate
50.7%

Draw
28.1%

Olbia
21.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.8%

30.3%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

21.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Renate's performance.

Olbia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renate than the current prediction. (-19.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Renate that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olbia than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olbia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Renate - Olbia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 17 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

Renate is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olbia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Renate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Renate is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Renate won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Renate won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
28.03.21	Giana Erminio - Renate	2:1 ✺
18.03.21	Alessandria - Renate	2:0 ✺
15.03.21	Renate - Novara	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Renate - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
03.03.21	Lecco - Renate	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWTL
- US Olbia 1905
Italian Serie C Group A
31.03.21	Olbia - Pistoiese	1:0 ✺
27.03.21	Olbia - AlbinoLeffe	1:2 ✺
07.03.21	Pergolettese - Olbia	0:3 ✺
27.02.21	Lucchese - Olbia	1:1 ✺
24.02.21	Olbia - Pro Sesto	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
13.12.20	Olbia - Renate	2:2
02.02.20	Olbia - Renate	0:0
22.09.19	Renate - Olbia	2:0
23.12.16	Olbia - Renate	1:2
27.08.16	Renate - Olbia	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
01.11.26	Carpi - Renate	✺

Renate - Olbia