Match Info

Date: 7 March 2021, Sunday


	Renate		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	2	2.87	3.75
	2.25	2.85	3.2
	2.15	2.95	3.25
	2.05	2.95	3.5
	2.14	3.23	3.73
	2.1	3.1	3.5
	2.12	2.87	3.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.93)	2.97 ↑ (2.96)	3.5 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renate
43.2%

Draw
30.7%

Carrarese
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

30.5%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

20.3%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renate than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Renate that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carrarese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Renate - Carrarese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 11).

Recent matches Renate is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carrarese is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Renate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Renate will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Renate won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Renate won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
03.03.21	Lecco - Renate	2:1 ✺
28.02.21	Renate - Piacenza	1:1 ✺
21.02.21	Livorno - Renate	0:1 ✺
17.02.21	Renate - AlbinoLeffe	0:2 ✺
14.02.21	Pro Patria - Renate	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTWLT
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
04.03.21	Carrarese - Grosseto	0:0 ✺
01.03.21	Alessandria - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
21.02.21	Carrarese - Novara	1:2 ✺
17.02.21	Pistoiese - Carrarese	0:2 ✺
14.02.21	Carrarese - Lecco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
11.11.20	Carrarese - Renate	0:2
17.02.20	Carrarese - Renate	2:1
29.09.19	Renate - Carrarese	0:0
04.03.17	Renate - Carrarese	1:0
16.10.16	Carrarese - Renate	0:0

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