Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 33

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Mino Favini (Meda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Renate		Union Clodiense

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	3.8
	1.71	3.45	4.9
	1.44	3.99	7.27	Watch
	1.75	3.2	4.75
	1.73	3.71	4.51	Watch
	1.71	3.45	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.49)	3.47 ↓ (3.97)	5.02 ↓ (6.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renate
54.6%

Draw
26.9%

Union Clodiense
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

23.1%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

22.1%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Renate's form might have worsened.

Union Clodiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Renate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Clodiense than the current prediction. (-4%)

Renate - Union Clodiense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Nobile T. (G) 2. Eleuteri A. 5. Auriletto S. (C) 41. Spedalieri J. 21. Riviera C. 14. Cali M. 17. Bonetti A. 52. Mastromonaco G. 11. Delcarro A. 77. De Leo L. 25. Vassallo F.	1. Gasparini M. (G) 4. Munaretto A. (C) 99. Regonesi I. 5. Salvi M. 32. Lattanzio A. 11. Manfredonia M. 10. Firenze M. 70. Chiwisa M. 17. Orfei A. 18. Sinani I. 14. Biondi K.
Substitutes
7. Anghileri M. 24. Bocalon R. 8. Esposito G. 3. Gardoni P. 32. Ghezzi A. 20. Marchetti M. 44. Mazzaroppi S. 1. Ombra F. (G) 50. Pellizzari S. 37. Plescia V. 31. Satriano A. 23. Siega N. 71. Ziu D.	22. Agosti T. (G) 44. Cester S. 7. Kostadinov D. 6. Nelli J. 19. Scapin T. 13. Sinn L. 21. Tavcar A. 27. Tiozzo P. 46. Vukusic R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Spedalieri J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Sinani I. 🟨,
61', Orfei A. ↓, Kostadinov D. ↑,
62', De Leo L. ↓, Bocalon R. ↑,
62', Mastromonaco G. ↓, Ghezzi A. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Firenze M. ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, Delcarro A. ⚽,
75', Bonetti A. ↓, Esposito G. ↑,
75', Sinani I. ↓, Scapin T. ↑,
75', Manfredonia M. ↓, Cester S. ↑,
80', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
82', Chiwisa M. 🟨,
87', Chiwisa M. ↓, Tiozzo M. ↑,
87', Regonesi I. ↓, Sinn L. ↑,
88', Eleuteri A. ↓, Anghileri M. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Renate is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Clodiense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Renate is a favorite.

There will not play in Renate: Di Nolfo F. (Inactive) Kolaj A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Clodiense: Brzan R. (Inactive) Pozzi A. (Inactive) Serena F. (Inactive)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Renate won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
16.03.25	Lumezzane - Renate	0:2 ✺
13.03.25	Renate - Padova	3:2 ✺
09.03.25	Caldiero Terme - Renate	2:2 ✺
03.03.25	Renate - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Novara - Renate	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 WWTWL
- Union Clodiense SSD
Italian Serie C Group A
16.03.25	Union Clodiense - AlbinoLeffe	1:3 ✺
13.03.25	FeralpiSalò - Union Clodiense	3:1 ✺
09.03.25	Union Clodiense - Virtus Verona	1:2 ✺
28.02.25	Alcione - Union Clodiense	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Union Clodiense - Pro Vercelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
10.11.24	Union Clodiense - Renate	2:2

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