Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 30

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini (Verona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport 257


	Caldiero Terme		Renate

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.85	2.25
	3.1	2.7	2.55
	3.21	2.54	2.78
	3.14	2.67	2.69	Watch
	2.8	2.75	2.62
	2.8	2.9	2.72	Watch
	3.1	2.7	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.96)	2.73 ↓ (3.03)	2.59 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caldiero Terme
30.5%

Draw
33.9%

Renate
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

30%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

28.2%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldiero Terme has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Renate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Caldiero Terme - Renate Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Caldiero Terme will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Renate will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Crespi G. M. (G) 13. Pelagatti C. 33. Mazzolo F. 44. Nessi R. 20. Florio M. 8. Filiciotto A. (C) 4. Gattoni T. 14. Pelamatti A. 11. Marras T. 10. Fasan N. 97. Cazzadori D.	30. Nobile T. (G) 41. Spedalieri J. 5. Auriletto S. (C) 21. Riviera C. 2. Eleuteri A. 8. Esposito G. 25. Vassallo F. 32. Ghezzi A. 77. De Leo L. 24. Bocalon R. 10. Kolaj A.
Substitutes
91. Aldegheri L. (G) 9. Caccavo L. 85. Cisse O. 15. Gecchele P. 1. Giacomel A. (G) 24. Gobetti N. 22. Kuqi O. (G) 29. Lanzi E. 28. Molnar I. 26. Mondini G. 3. Parodi G. . Rihai A. 90. Scappini S. 47. Squarzoni S. A. 7. Zerbato L.	7. Anghileri M. 17. Bonetti A. 14. Cali M. 11. Delcarro A. 27. Di Nolfo F. 3. Gardoni P. 52. Mastromonaco G. 44. Mazzaroppi S. 1. Ombra F. (G) 50. Pellizzari S. 37. Plescia V. 31. Satriano A. 23. Siega N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Spedalieri J. 🟨,
28', Florio M. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Eleuteri A. ⚽,
35', Bocalon R. 🟨,
43', Kolaj A. ↓, Mazzaroppi S. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Spedalieri J. ↓, Pellizzari S. ↑,
59', Florio M. ↓, Scappini S. ↑,
59', Mazzolo F. ↓, Gecchele P. ↑,
60', De Leo L. ↓, Di Nolfo F. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Marras T. ⚽,
67', Gattoni T. 🟨,
72', Bocalon R. ↓, Plescia V. ↑,
72', Esposito G. ↓, Cali M. ↑,
80', Pelagatti C. 🟨,
80', Cazzadori D. ↓, Zerbato L. ↑,
81', Filiciotto A. ↓, Mondini G. ↑,
87', Fasan N. ↓, Lanzi E. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Plescia V. ⚽,
90', Plescia V. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, Zerbato L. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Caldiero Terme has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Renate is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Caldiero Terme could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Renate will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Caldiero Terme: Baldani N. (Inactive)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Caldiero Terme won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caldiero Terme
Italian Serie C Group A
01.03.25	Pro Patria - Caldiero Terme	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Caldiero Terme - FeralpiSalò	2:3 ✺
17.02.25	Virtus Verona - Caldiero Terme	5:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
12.02.25	Caldiero Terme - Giana Erminio	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
08.02.25	Caldiero Terme - Pergolettese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLLL
- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
03.03.25	Renate - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Novara - Renate	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Renate - Lecco	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	AlbinoLeffe - Renate	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Renate - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
26.10.24	Renate - Caldiero Terme	0:0

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