Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 29

Date: 28 February 2025, Friday

Location: Stadio Ernesto Breda (Sesto San Giovanni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251


	Alcione		Union Clodiense

	1	X	2
	2.41	3.05	2.7
	2.67	3.27	2.59
	2.6	3.16	2.75	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.9
	2.66	3.14	2.66	Watch
	2.41	3.05	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (1.75)	3.08 ↓ (3.4)	2.72 ↓ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcione
36.2%

Draw
29.9%

Union Clodiense
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

26.2%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcione's form might have worsened.

Union Clodiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Union Clodiense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcione, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Clodiense than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Union Clodiense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alcione - Union Clodiense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bacchin F. (G) 3. Chierichetti P. 37. Stabile G. 6. Ciappellano D. 25. Pirola F. 21. Bright K. 16. Lanzi J. 8. Bonaiti S. 33. Invernizzi A. 29. Samele L. 96. Palombi S.	77. Pezzolato M. (G) 90. Mora C. 4. Munaretto A. (C) 5. Salvi M. 32. Lattanzio A. 44. Cester S. 8. Serena F. 13. Sinn L. 18. Sinani I. 91. Zigoni G. 14. Biondi K.
Substitutes
22. Agazzi F. (G) 94. Bertolotti F. 19. Caremoli T. 20. Dimarco C. 31. Marconi M. 5. Miculi A. 11. Morselli F. 77. Pessolani G. 17. Pio Loco A. 7. Renault G.	22. Agosti T. (G) 70. Chiwisa M. 10. Firenze M. 7. Kostadinov D. 11. Manfredonia M. 24. Martignago R. 6. Nelli J. 17. Orfei A. 99. Regonesi I. 19. Scapin T. 21. Tavcar A. 46. Vukusic R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Sinani I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Mora C. ↓, Vukusic R. ↑,
51', Sinani I. ↓, Martignago R. ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Samele L. ⚽,
59', 2 - 0, Bonaiti S. ⚽,
61', Serena F. 🟨,
62', Cester S. ↓, Nelli J. ↑,
67', Zigoni G. ↓, Manfredonia M. ↑,
67', Sinn L. ↓, Firenze M. ↑,
74', Palombi S. ↓, Morselli F. ↑,
78', Samele L. ↓, Marconi M. ↑,
79', Lanzi J. ↓, Renault G. ↑,
87', Pirola F. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

Alcione will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alcione won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A
22.02.25	Triestina - Alcione	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Alcione - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Novara - Alcione	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Alcione - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Vicenza Virtus - Alcione	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLTTL
- Union Clodiense SSD
Italian Serie C Group A
23.02.25	Union Clodiense - Pro Vercelli	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Pro Patria - Union Clodiense	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Union Clodiense - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
01.02.25	Trento - Union Clodiense	5:0 ✺
25.01.25	Union Clodiense - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
19.10.24	Union Clodiense - Alcione	1:3
Italian Serie D - Group A
15.05.24	Union Clodiense - Alcione	2:1

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