Match Info

Date: 20 October 2020, Tuesday


	Rennes		Krasnodar

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.1	5.2
	1.62	4.1	5.25
	1.67	4.2	5.4
	1.65	3.95	5.2
	1.67	4.22	5.27
	1.63	4	5.25
	1.66	4.15	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.8)	4.1 ↑ (3.72)	5.3 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rennes
58.4%

Draw
23.4%

Krasnodar
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

25.6%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

16.5%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rennes's performance.

Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-24.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rennes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krasnodar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.1%	14.3%	13.6%

Rennes - Krasnodar Predictions

Users Predictions: 140 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 101 - 72.1%). Krasnodar will win (votes: 19 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 64.7% – 79.5%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

Rennes has a chance of round of 16 (27%), has a small chance of qtrs (7%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Krasnodar has a chance of round of 16 (18%), has a very small chance of qtrs (3%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Rennes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rennes is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Rennes to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
16.10.20	Dijon - Rennes	1:1 ✺
04.10.20	Rennes - Reims	2:2 ✺
26.09.20	Saint-Étienne - Rennes	0:3 ✺
19.09.20	Rennes - Monaco	2:1 ✺
13.09.20	Nîmes - Rennes	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTWWW
- FC Krasnodar
Russian Premier League
17.10.20	Krasnodar - Rubin Kazan	3:1 ✺
04.10.20	Dynamo Moscow - Krasnodar	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.09.20	PAOK - Krasnodar	1:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
26.09.20	Sochi - Krasnodar	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.09.20	Krasnodar - PAOK	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWTW

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