The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dynamo Moscow 38.5%
Draw 26.2%
Krasnodar 35.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.9%
26%
42.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.1%
25.3%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dynamo Moscow's performance.
Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Krasnodar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dynamo Moscow that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krasnodar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dynamo Moscow - Krasnodar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Leshchuk I. (G) 56. Zaydenzal L. 5. Majstorovic M. 6. Fernandez R. 7. Skopintsev D. 24. Chavez L. 15. Glebov D. 21. Miranchuk An. 88. Okishor V. 33. Sergeev I. (C) 17. Babaev U.
16. Koryakin A. (G) 17. Paltsev V. 5. Jubal Junior 3. Tormena V. (C) 59. Khmarin A. 21. Ozdoev M. 6. Lenini K. 23. Boselli J. 47. Utkin D. 11. Joao Batxi 67. Mukailov K.
Substitutes
30. Aleksandrov D. 11. Arthur Gomes 10. Bitello 4. Caceres J. 57. David Ricardo 51. Dzhioev R. (G) 91. Gladyshev Y. 60. Marinkin T. 55. Osipenko M. 1. Rasulov K. (G) 8. Rubens 70. Tyukavin K.
1. Agkatsev S. (G) 53. Chernikov A. 18. Christian 8. Douglas Augusto 88. Krivtsov N. 98. Petrov S. 40. Vakhania I. 10. Vorobyev D.
Coaches
Schwarz S.
Musaev M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Joao Batxi 🟨,
38', Babaev U. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Mukailov K. ⚽, Utkin D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Majstorovic M. ↓, Osipenko M. ↑,
54', Chavez L. ↓, Bitello ↑,
54', Babaev U. ↓, Arthur Gomes ↑,
54', Joao Batxi ↓, Vorobyev D. ↑,
54', Mukailov K. ↓, Krivtsov N. ↑,
66', Sergeev I. ↓, Tyukavin K. ↑,
66', Boselli J. ↓, Douglas Augusto ↑,
66', Utkin D. ↓, Christian ↑,
68', Skopintsev D. 🟨,
75', Krivtsov N. ↓, Vakhania I. ↑,
78', Glebov D. ↓, Marinkin T. ↑,
89', Fernandez R. 🟨,
89', Vorobyev D. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 2.
Dynamo M has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Krasnodar is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Dynamo M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo M won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.1:1.3).
Outrights of Russian Cup for now
Krasnodar: 16.72% Dynamo Moscow: 9.83%
Last Results with these Odds
Dynamo Moscow - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 31.86%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Krasnodar - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 42.17%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
Asia
Belarus
Usa
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Leshchuk I. (G) 
Majstorovic M. 
Fernandez R. 
Chavez L. 
Jubal Junior 
Lenini K. 
Boselli J. 
Joao Batxi 
Schwarz S. 
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