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Current Win Probability
Tochigi 37.5%
Draw 28.8%
Renofa Yamaguchi 33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
30.3%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Tochigi have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Renofa Yamaguchi have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 14th and 3rd in the Promotion - J3 League Promotion - Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tochigi won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Tochigi (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Renofa Yamaguchi is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Tochigi may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Tochigi has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:17 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tochigi against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 11:9 goals (averaging 1.6:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Renofa Yamaguchi
9
5
2
2
13:7
6
17
14
Tochigi SC
9
2
4
3
11:14
-3
10
Last Results with these Odds
Renofa Yamaguchi - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 33.69%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.