Match Info

J2 League - Round 19

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Ishin Me-Life Stadium (Yamaguchi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Renofa Yamaguchi		Iwaki

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.37	2.95	2.7
	2.42	3.05	2.82	Watch
	2.56	3.25	2.96
	2.41	3	2.98	Watch
	2.45	3	2.8
	2.5	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.42	3.05	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.36)	3.06 ↑ (3.04)	2.86 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renofa Yamaguchi
37.6%

Draw
30.1%

Iwaki
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

30.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

29.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renofa Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Iwaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Renofa Yamaguchi - Iwaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Renofa Yamaguchi will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marsman N. (G) 55. Okaniwa S. 5. Yoshioka K. 4. Matsuda K. 76. Isotani S. 8. Noyori K. 17. Tanabe K. 29. Wakasa Y. 45. Yamamoto O. 30. Okuyama Y. 9. Arita R.	23. Sasaki M. (G) 5. Shirai H. 3. Endo R. 2. Ishida Y. 8. Shibata S. 32. Igarashi S. 13. Murakami H. 19. Onishi Y. 24. Yamashita Y. 38. Kumata N. 10. Tanimura K.
Substitutes
34. Furukawa D. 15. Itakura T. 6. Kim Byeom-Yong 28. Kobayashi S. 40. Naruoka H. 27. Ozawa R. 38. Suenaga T. 26. Taguchi J. (G) 19. Yamamoto S.	28. Hyun W. 39. Joo H. (G) 15. Kase N. 16. Kato T. 6. Sakagishi K. 30. Shota K. 17. Yamada Y.
Coaches
Shigaki R.	Tamura Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Tanimura K. ⚽, Yamashita Y. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Yamamoto O. ⚽, Wakasa Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Igarashi S. ↓, Kase N. ↑,
46', Murakami H. ↓, Hyun W. ↑,
46', Okuyama Y. ↓, Suenaga T. ↑,
61', Noyori K. ↓, Kobayashi S. ↑,
61', Arita R. ↓, Furukawa D. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Hyun W. ⚽, Yamashita Y. (A),
75', Isotani S. ↓, Ozawa R. ↑,
76', Shibata S. ↓, Shota K. ↑,
76', Onishi Y. ↓, Sakagishi K. ↑,
85', Yamamoto O. ↓, Kim Byeom-Yong ↑,
88', Shirai H. ↓, Yamada Y. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Yoshioka K. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 14).

In recent matches, Renofa Yamaguchi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Iwaki is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Iwaki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Iwaki has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Renofa Yamaguchi won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Renofa Yamaguchi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Iwaki - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 30.74%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Tokushima Vortis - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
31.05.25	JEF United Chiba - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:0 ✺
25.05.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Fujieda MYFC	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
21.05.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Kashiwa Reysol	0:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
18.05.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Montedio Yamagata	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTTLW
- Iwaki FC
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Iwaki - Blaublitz Akita	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
01.06.25	Iwaki - Roasso Kumamoto	5:1 ✺
25.05.25	Iwaki - Vegalta Sendai	1:2 ✺
17.05.25	Júbilo Iwata - Iwaki	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Iwaki - Consadole Sapporo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
22.06.24	Renofa Yamaguchi - Iwaki	0:3
12.05.24	Iwaki - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:2
15.07.23	Renofa Yamaguchi - Iwaki	0:0
04.03.23	Iwaki - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:1

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