Match Info

J2 League - Round 36

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Ishin Me-Life Stadium (Yamaguchi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Renofa Yamaguchi		Júbilo Iwata

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.25	Watch
				Watch
	2.15	3.15	3.2	Watch
	2.27	3.22	3.59
	2.46	3.40	2.60	Watch
	2.22	3.39	3.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.46)	3.31 ↓ (3.4)	3.15 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renofa Yamaguchi
41.9%

Draw
28.3%

Júbilo Iwata
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

27.1%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

27.2%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renofa Yamaguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Júbilo Iwata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Júbilo Iwata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Renofa Yamaguchi - Júbilo Iwata Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Renofa Yamaguchi will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Iwata will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Iwata (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marsman N. (G) 4. Matsuda K. 5. Yoshioka K. 76. Isotani S. 27. Ozawa R. 17. Tanabe K. 55. Okaniwa S. 8. Noyori K. 45. Yamamoto O. 20. Kawano K. 9. Arita R.	1. Kawashima E. (G) 5. Ezaki T. 36. Ricardo Graca 52. Van den Bergh J. 71. Masui K. 25. Nakamura S. 4. Matsubara K. 7. Uehara R. 6. Kaneko D. 79. Browne N. 9. Watanabe R.
Substitutes
21. Choi Hyung-Chan (G) 34. Furukawa D. 15. Itakura T. 28. Kobayashi S. 7. Misawa N. 13. Miyayoshi T. 40. Naruoka H. 36. Nishido H. 38. Suenaga T.	18. Inoue S. 38. Kawaguchi N. 33. Kawai T. 2. Kawasaki I. 11. Matheus Peixoto 21. Miura R. (G) 3. Morioka R. 20. Sato R. 39. Sumi K.
Coaches
Nakayama G.	Amma T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Browne N. 🟨,
40', Masui K. 🟨,
40', Okaniwa S. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Yamamoto O. ⚽, Ozawa R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Browne N. ↓, Matheus Peixoto ↑,
63', Matsubara K. ↓, Kawasaki I. ↑,
63', Nakamura S. ↓, Inoue S. ↑,
63', Uehara R. ↓, Sumi K. ↑,
69', Kawano K. ↓, Kobayashi S. ↑,
78', Noyori K. ↓, Naruoka H. ↑,
78', Okaniwa S. ↓, Itakura T. ↑,
78', Watanabe R. ↓, Kawai T. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Isotani S. (Own goal),
88', Tanabe K. ↓, Misawa N. ↑,
88', Yamamoto O. ↓, Furukawa D. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 2, Kaneko D. ⚽, Matheus Peixoto (A),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Renofa Yamaguchi won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Renofa Yamaguchi won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Renofa Yamaguchi won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Renofa Yamaguchi - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.46%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J2 League
02.11.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Kataller Toyama	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Imabari - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Sagan Tosu	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Montedio Yamagata - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTLL
- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 League
02.11.25	Júbilo Iwata - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Ehime - Júbilo Iwata	1:3 ✺
18.10.25	Júbilo Iwata - Tokushima Vortis	0:4 ✺
04.10.25	Ventforet Kofu - Júbilo Iwata	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Júbilo Iwata - Omiya Ardija	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
29.04.25	Júbilo Iwata - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:1
16.09.23	Júbilo Iwata - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:0
25.02.23	Renofa Yamaguchi - Júbilo Iwata	1:1
11.07.21	Renofa Yamaguchi - Júbilo Iwata	2:2
27.03.21	Júbilo Iwata - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:2
30.09.20	Renofa Yamaguchi - Júbilo Iwata	3:0
11.07.20	Júbilo Iwata - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:1

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