Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 21

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Complejo Rentistas (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Rentistas		Huracán Paso de la Arena

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.10	3.60
	1.90	3.15	3.65
	1.99	3.32	3.90
	1.93	3.39	3.9	Watch
	1.89	3.25	3.85
	1.98	3.38	3.74	Watch
	1.90	3.20	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.9)	3.26 ↑ (3.2)	3.74 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rentistas
47.5%

Draw
28.1%

Huracán Paso de la Arena
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

28%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

26.8%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rentistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Huracán Paso de la Arena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Paso de la Arena than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Rentistas - Huracán Paso de la Arena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, ⚽,
45+3', 🟥,
45+4', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 5th and 9th).

In recent outings, Rentistas has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Huracán shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Rentistas may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Rentistas carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Rentistas has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Rentistas	21	9	6	6	26:23	3	33
10	Huracan FC	21	7	5	9	22:28	-6	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Rentistas
Uruguay Copa
30.09.26	Cerro Largo - Rentistas	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.09.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Rentistas	1:3 ✺
20.09.26	Rentistas - Oriental de La Paz	0:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
16.09.26	Rentistas - Plaza Colonia	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.09.26	Colón Montevideo - Rentistas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLWW
- Huracán Paso de la Arena
Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.09.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Miramar Misiones	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Tacuarembó - Huracán Paso de la Arena	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Plaza Colonia	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	La Luz - Huracán Paso de la Arena	1:3 ✺
29.08.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Cerrito	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.06.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Rentistas	1:2

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