Match Info

Date: 24 April 2021, Saturday


	Resende		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
	12	5	1.25
	8.75	5.25	1.26	Watch
	9.5	4.7	1.26
	11	5.2	1.21
	11.12	5.94	1.26
	11.75	5.75	1.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.69 ↑ (6.32)	5.31 ↑ (3.76)	1.25 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Resende
8.6%

Draw
17.4%

Vasco da Gama
74%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

24.8%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.4%

20.9%

71.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Resende has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Resende's form might have worsened.

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vasco da Gama's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resende than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Resende - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 6).

Resende is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vasco is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Vasco have a series of guest games.

In this match Vasco is indisputable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Resende won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 2-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Resende won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Resende FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
18.04.21	Nova Iguaçu - Resende	4:2 ✺
10.04.21	Macaé - Resende	1:3 ✺
04.04.21	Resende - Boavista	1:4 ✺
01.04.21	Resende - Portuguesa RJ	0:1 ✺
27.03.21	Bangu - Resende	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLT
- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
18.04.21	Boavista - Vasco da Gama	2:2 ✺
15.04.21	Flamengo - Vasco da Gama	1:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
07.04.21	Tombense - Vasco da Gama	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
03.04.21	Vasco da Gama - Bangu	4:2 ✺
30.03.21	Fluminense - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
29.02.20	Resende - Vasco da Gama	1:1
20.03.19	Resende - Vasco da Gama	0:2
13.02.19	Vasco da Gama - Resende	3:0
05.02.17	Vasco da Gama - Resende	2:1
12.03.15	Vasco da Gama - Resende	1:0
Copa do Brasil
16.04.14	Vasco da Gama - Resende	1:0
03.04.14	Resende - Vasco da Gama	0:0

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