Match Info

PARAGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 19

Date: 6 November 2023, Monday


	Nacional Asuncion		Resistencia

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.8	7.5
	1.4	4.1	6.5
	1.4	4.33	7.5	Watch
	1.45	4.57	7.71
	1.45	4.57	7.71
	1.35	4.2	7.5
	1.42	4.3	6.9
	1.43	4.3	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.53)	4.27 ↑ (3.84)	7.27 ↑ (6.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Asuncion
65.5%

Draw
21.7%

Resistencia
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

24.2%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

23.6%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resistencia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Nacional Asuncion - Resistencia Predictions

Users Predictions: Nacional Asuncion will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Espinola H. (G) 23. Espinola C. 36. Benegas I. 14. Nunez C. 6. Roman 33. Gaona Lugo O. 24. Santacruz Rodas J. F. 26. Alfaro J. 21. Aguilar G. 32. Brizuela F. 20. Avalos F.	23. Rhuan (G) 28. Benitez A. 2. Villalva A. 3. Ruan 19. Benitez M. 5. Quinonez A. 6. Candia W. 18. Aguilera Colman D. A. 20. Martinez Candia C. A. 24. Diaz E. 9. Gonzalez A.
Substitutes
3. Baez F. 9. Fleitas D. 30. Galarza L. (G) 7. Martinez M. 13. Meza L. 22. Nunez J. 8. Velazco F.	1. Arzamendia M. (G) 15. Cabrera E. 22. Enciso R. 10. Jorge Nunez 11. Lezcano H. 21. Recalde J. 7. Salinas R.
Coaches
Pumpido J. P.	Recalde C.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional Asuncion won 2.

Nacional Asuncion is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Resistencia has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nacional Asuncion could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nacional Asuncion is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Nacional Asuncion to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Nacional Asuncion won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional Asuncion won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
01.11.23	General Caballero JLM - Nacional Asuncion	0:0 ✺
28.10.23	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Guaireña - Nacional Asuncion	0:0 ✺
18.10.23	Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	4:0 ✺
07.10.23	Nacional Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWTWW
- Resistencia SC
Paraguayan Primera Division
02.11.23	Resistencia - Tacuary	1:3 ✺
30.10.23	Libertad Asuncion - Resistencia	4:1 ✺
25.10.23	Resistencia - Sportivo Luqueño	0:0 ✺
21.10.23	Cerro Porteño - Resistencia	4:1 ✺
08.10.23	Resistencia - Sportivo Trinidense	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
28.08.23	Resistencia - Nacional Asuncion	2:1
18.05.23	Nacional Asuncion - Resistencia	0:0
12.03.23	Resistencia - Nacional Asuncion	0:1
25.09.22	Resistencia - Nacional Asuncion	0:1
21.07.22	Nacional Asuncion - Resistencia	1:1
06.05.22	Nacional Asuncion - Resistencia	1:2
18.02.22	Resistencia - Nacional Asuncion	3:1

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