Match Info

PARAGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 16

Date: 25 October 2023, Wednesday


	Resistencia		Sportivo Luqueño

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.3	2.05
	3.25	3.2	1.98
	3.4	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.73	3.46	2.13
	3.73	3.46	2.1
	3.1	3.3	2.1
	3.5	3.48	1.97
	3.3	3.3	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (2.81)	3.36 ↑ (3.32)	2.06 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Resistencia
27.1%

Draw
27.7%

Sportivo Luqueño
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

28.2%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

28.1%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Resistencia's form might have worsened.

Sportivo Luqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportivo Luqueño's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resistencia than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Resistencia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo Luqueño, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Resistencia - Sportivo Luqueño Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Resistencia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arzamendia M. (G) 18. Aguilera Colman D. A. 8. Araujo J. 28. Benitez A. 19. Benitez M. 30. Da Silva N. 20. Martinez Candia C. A. 27. Pacheco W. 5. Quinonez A. (C) 3. Ruan 2. Villalva A.	1. Falcon G. (G) 33. Alborno R. 27. Baez J. 25. Caceres R. 9. Charpentier P. 26. Fernandez D. (C) 2. Ferreira R. 4. Leguizamon J. 8. Mendoza J. 18. Rojas R. 3. Villalba I.
Substitutes
29. Acosta M. 6. Candia W. 24. Diaz E. 12. Gimenez R. (G) 39. Gonzalez A. 10. Jorge Nunez 16. Moreira J.	7. Alegre D. 14. Benitez F. 30. Castro M. 35. Fleitas Silvero V. A. (G) 11. Fretes S. 22. Nunez J. 15. Pereira K.
Coaches
Recalde C.	Caceres J. C.

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 10 and 9).

Resistencia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sportivo Luqueño is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Resistencia have a series of guest games.

Sportivo Luqueño will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Resistencia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Resistencia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Resistencia SC
Paraguayan Primera Division
21.10.23	Cerro Porteño - Resistencia	4:1 ✺
08.10.23	Resistencia - Sportivo Trinidense	1:4 ✺
02.10.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Resistencia	0:0 ✺
22.09.23	General Caballero JLM - Resistencia	2:0 ✺
17.09.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Resistencia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LLTLW
- Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division
19.10.23	Sportivo Luqueño - General Caballero JLM	1:0 ✺
09.10.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Luqueño	0:2 ✺
02.10.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaireña	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	2:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
19.09.23	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
05.08.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Resistencia	2:2
14.05.23	Resistencia - Sportivo Luqueño	1:1
05.03.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Resistencia	1:0

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