Match Info

Copa do Nordeste - Round 2

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Pernambuco (São Lourenço da Mata)


	Retrô Brasil		Ceará

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.2	1.85	Watch
	4.05	3.15	1.82	Watch
	3.75	2.94	1.9
	4.58	3.39	1.74
	4.2	3	1.85
	4.05	3.32	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↓ (4.22)	3.17 ↓ (3.18)	1.85 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Retrô Brasil
22.2%

Draw
28.7%

Ceará
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

28.5%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

28.1%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Retrô Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Retrô Brasil - Ceará Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Ceará (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceará (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jefferson Paulino (G) 17. Diego Guerra 10. Fernandinho 5. Kadi Silva 18. Lucas Sampaio 7. Luiz Henrique 28. Oliveira G. 8. Radsley 4. Rayan Ribeiro 9. Vagner Love (C) 15. Wesley Junio	1. Richard (G) 11. Fernandinho 63. Gilmar 10. Juan Alano 18. Julio Cesar 4. Luiz Otavio 40. Melk 26. Richardson (C) 12. Sanchez 25. Vinicius Zanocelo 9. Wendel Silva
Substitutes
22. Bruno Marques 30. Cacau 16. Danillo 3. Dankler 2. David Junio 11. Douglas 25. Ericson 23. Fabricio Pereira 26. Gogo J. 6. Luiz Henrique 29. Murilo Cosmo 1. Paulo Ricardo (G)	94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 33. Eder 17. Fernando 35. Giulio 31. Lucas Lima 99. Lucca 8. Matheus Araujo 98. Matheusinho 2. Ramos R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Vinicius Zanocelo ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
24', 🟨,
36', Sanchez 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Fernandinho ⚽,
39', Wesley Junio 🟨,
45+6', Kadi Silva 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Richardson ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
46', Gilmar ↓, Eder ↑,
46', Lucas Sampaio ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Matheusinho ⚽,
49', 🟨,
55', Fernandinho ↓, Douglas ↑,
56', Gustavo Baiano ↓, David Junio ↑,
64', Julio Cesar 🟨,
67', 2 - 1, Radsley ⚽,
70', Diego Guerra ↓, Cacau ↑,
70', Juan Alano ↓, Matheus Araujo ↑,
70', Melk ↓, Giulio ↑,
80', Kadi Silva ↓, Danillo ↑,
81', Lucas Lima 🟥,
90+4', Rayan Ribeiro 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 1, Vagner Love ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ceará is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
24.03.26	Imperatriz de Desportos - Retrô Brasil	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Retrô Brasil - Uberlândia	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
21.02.26	Sport Recife - Retrô Brasil	3:2 ✺
12.02.26	Retrô Brasil - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Retrô Brasil - Maguary	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLLW
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
25.03.26	Ceará - ABC	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.03.26	Ceará - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
17.03.26	São Bernardo - Ceará	0:1 penalties ✺
12.03.26	Maranhão - Ceará	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
08.03.26	Ceará - Fortaleza	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTWWL

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