Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Arena Pernambuco (São Lourenço da Mata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Premiere, SporTV 3


	Retrô Brasil		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.3	1.85
	4.1	3.25	1.78
	4.3	3.4	1.83
	4.2	3.39	1.88
	4.33	3.42	1.85
	4.4	3.4	1.75
	4.41	3.46	1.86
	4.3	3.4	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↑ (4.17)	3.38 ↓ (3.48)	1.83 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Retrô Brasil
21.6%

Draw
27.5%

Fortaleza
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

26.7%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

24.8%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Retrô Brasil - Fortaleza Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Retrô will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Retrô (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Fortaleza (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Retrô (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Retrô (1.97) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Retrô (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Fortaleza (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Fabian Volpi (G) 6. Gustavo Salomao 4. Rayan Ribeiro 3. Claudinho 2. Gedeilson 18. Franco R. 20. Gledson 8. Radsley 10. Fernandinho (C) 11. Junior Fialho 30. Maycon Douglas	1. Joao Ricardo (G) 14. Mancuso E. 23. David Luiz (C) 39. Gustavo Mancha 6. Bruno Pacheco 5. Fernandez P. 17. Ze Welison 10. Calebe 19. Allanzinho 18. Deyverson 77. Andrade K.
Substitutes
22. Bruno Marques 17. Diego Guerra 25. Eduardo 27. Jonas 26. Ly I. 29. Mendonca 13. Mike 16. Natan 1. Paulo Gianezini (G) 19. Rayne Assis 15. Robson Reis 5. Romulo	32. Avila G. 12. Brenno (G) 26. Breno Lopes 8. Emmanuel Martinez 13. Kuscevic B. 88. Lucas Sasha 9. Lucero J. 11. Marinho 20. Matheus Rossetto 7. Pochettino T. 4. Titi 22. Yago Pikachu
Coaches
Mendes M.	Vojvoda J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Gustavo Salomao 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Franco R. ⚽,
38', Bruno Pacheco 🟨,
43', David Luiz 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Allanzinho ↓, Breno Lopes ↑,
46', Fernandez P. ↓, Emmanuel Martinez ↑,
46', Calebe ↓, Marinho ↑,
57', Fernandinho ↓, Ly I. ↑,
70', Junior Fialho ↓, Bruno Marques ↑,
70', Maycon Douglas ↓, Diego Guerra ↑,
77', Mancuso E. ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
78', Franco R. ↓, Mike ↑,
83', Rayan Ribeiro 🟨,
83', Yago Pikachu 🟨,
88', 1 - 1, Lucero J. ⚽,
90', Emmanuel Martinez 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Retrô is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fortaleza is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fortaleza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fortaleza is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Retrô won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Last Results with these Odds

Fortaleza - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.97%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Serie C
26.04.25	Retrô Brasil - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Ponte Preta - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Retrô Brasil - Tombense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
02.04.25	Sport Recife - Retrô Brasil	2:2 penalties ✺
22.03.25	Retrô Brasil - Sport Recife	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLTWL
- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Serie A
26.04.25	Sport Recife - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.04.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
20.04.25	Fortaleza - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
16.04.25	Vitória Salvador - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Fortaleza - Internacional RS	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
14.03.24	Fortaleza - Retrô Brasil	1:0 penalties

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