Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 3

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)

Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball


	Fortaleza		Internacional RS

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.55	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.7
	2.95	3.1	2.5	Watch
	3.04	3.11	2.5	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.62
	3.03	3.14	2.58	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.45)	3.08 ↓ (3.29)	2.56 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza
32.3%

Draw
30.8%

Internacional RS
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

28.7%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

30.1%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortaleza's form might have worsened.

Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortaleza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Internacional RS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Fortaleza - Internacional RS Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Internacional will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Fortaleza (2.12) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joao Ricardo (G) 13. Kuscevic B. 23. David Luiz 39. Gustavo Mancha 22. Yago Pikachu (C) 20. Matheus Rossetto 88. Lucas Sasha 10. Calebe 14. Mancuso E. 21. Moises 18. Deyverson	24. Anthoni (G) 35. Aguirre B. 3. Rogel A. 4. Vitao (C) 2. Ramon 29. Thiago Maia 16. Ronaldo 11. Romero O. 19. Borre R. 21. Wesley 7. Carbonero J.
Substitutes
19. Allanzinho 77. Andrade K. 12. Brenno (G) 41. Bruninho 6. Bruno Pacheco 16. Diogo Barbosa 8. Emmanuel Martinez 5. Fernandez P. 9. Lucero J. 11. Marinho 4. Titi 17. Ze Welison	26. Bernabei A. 17. Bruno Tabata 20. Clayton Sampaio 33. Diego Rosa 34. Gabriel Carvalho 47. Gustavo Prado 12. Ivan (G) 27. Kaique Rocha 39. Luis Otavio 23. Nathan 13. Valencia E. 28. Vitinho
Coaches
Vojvoda J.	Roger Machado

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', David Luiz 🟨,
45+2', Carbonero J. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Moises ↓, Marinho ↑,
57', Vitinho 🟨,
61', Wesley ↓, Bruno Tabata ↑,
61', Romero O. ↓, Diego Rosa ↑,
61', Calebe 🟨,
65', Matheus Rossetto ↓, Ze Welison ↑,
65', Calebe ↓, Emmanuel Martinez ↑,
74', Thiago Maia ↓, Luis Otavio ↑,
74', Borre R. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
79', Deyverson 🟨,
81', Deyverson ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
82', Yago Pikachu ↓, Allanzinho ↑,
82', Ramon 🟨,
87', Emmanuel Martinez 🟨,
90+5', Brenno 🟨,
90+5', Brenno 🟥,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 3.

Fortaleza is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Internacional is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Fortaleza: Breno Lopes (Forearm injury) Britez E. (Ankle Injury) Pochettino T. (Inactive) Tinga (Injury)

There will not play in Internacional: Bruno Gomes (Knee Injury) Drummond L. (Knee Injury) Juninho (Inactive) Mercado G. (Knee Injury) Rochet S. (Inactive) Victor Gabriel (Hamstring Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21:17 (average 1.5:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Fortaleza won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:3 (average 2:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza EC
Copa Libertadores
10.04.25	Colo-Colo - Fortaleza	Abandoned ✺
Brazilian Serie A
06.04.25	Mirassol - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
01.04.25	Fortaleza - Racing	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
29.03.25	Fortaleza - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
26.03.25	Fortaleza - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 ?TLWL
- Internacional RS
Copa Libertadores
10.04.25	Internacional RS - Atlético Nacional	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
06.04.25	Internacional RS - Cruzeiro	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.04.25	Bahia - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
29.03.25	Flamengo - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
16.03.25	Internacional RS - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
08.12.24	Fortaleza - Internacional RS	3:0
11.09.24	Internacional RS - Fortaleza	2:1
19.08.23	Internacional RS - Fortaleza	0:1
15.04.23	Fortaleza - Internacional RS	1:1
07.08.22	Fortaleza - Internacional RS	3:0
17.04.22	Internacional RS - Fortaleza	2:1
19.09.21	Internacional RS - Fortaleza	1:0

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