Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna)

Referee: Pajac I. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bologna		Red Bull Salzburg

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	9
	1.36	5.05	9.6
	1.35	5.28	8.94
	1.38	4.93	7.69	Watch
	1.4	5.21	9.2
	1.36	4.75	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.38)	5.04 ↑ (4.93)	8.82 ↑ (7.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bologna
70.2%

Draw
19%

Red Bull Salzburg
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

19.2%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.6%

20.9%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.4%	2.9%	5.7%

Bologna - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Bologna (1.34) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bologna will win (32 of 34 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bologna will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 13 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ravaglia F. (G) 20. Zortea N. 14. Heggem T. 26. Lucumi J. 33. Miranda J. 4. Pobega T. 19. Ferguson L. (C) 7. Orsolini R. 21. Odgaard J. 10. Bernardeschi F. 24. Dallinga T.	1. Schlager A. (G) 22. Lainer S. 23. Gadou J. 2. Rasmussen J. 3. Terzic A. 49. Yeo M. K. 18. Bidstrup M. (C) 5. Diabate S. 7. Bischoff C. 20. Baidoo E. 11. Vertessen Y.
Substitutes
16. Casale N. 9. Castro S. 30. Dominguez B. 80. Fabbian G. 82. Franceschelli M. (G) 2. Holm E. 6. Moro N. 25. Pessina M. (G) 41. Vitik M.	43. Aguilar E. 27. Alajbegovic K. 15. Diambou M. 92. Hamzic S. (G) 19. Konate K. 13. Kratzig F. 25. Lukic O. 21. Ratkov P. 44. Schuster J. 37. Trummer T.
Coaches
Italiano V.	Letsch T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Odgaard J. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Vertessen Y. ⚽,
43', Vertessen Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Yeo M. K. 🟨,
51', 2 - 1, Dallinga T. ⚽, Miranda J. (A),
53', 3 - 1, Bernardeschi F. ⚽, Zortea N. (A),
59', Diabate S. ↓, Alajbegovic K. ↑,
60', Yeo M. K. ↓, Ratkov P. ↑,
69', Heggem T. ↓, Vitik M. ↑,
69', Odgaard J. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,
69', Bernardeschi F. ↓, Dominguez B. ↑,
74', Vertessen Y. ↓, Aguilar E. ↑,
74', Bischoff C. ↓, Lukic O. ↑,
74', Pobega T. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
81', Baidoo E. ↓, Konate K. ↑,
81', Dallinga T. ↓, Castro S. ↑,
86', 4 - 1, Orsolini R. ⚽, Castro S. (A),

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

Recently, Salzburg has had a series of home games.

In this match, Bologna is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Cambiaghi N. (Calf Injury) De Silvestri L. (Inactive) Freuler R. (Shoulder Injury) Immobile C. (Inactive) Lykogiannis C. (Red Card) Rowe J. (Thigh Injury) Skorupski L. (Thigh Injury) Sulemana I. (Inactive)

There will not play in Salzburg: Chase A. (Inactive) Kawamura T. (Knee Injury) Mellberg J. (Knee Injury) Omoregie J. (Inactive) Onisiwo K. (Muscle Injury) Sulzbacher V. (Inactive) Zawieschitzky C. (Back Injury)

We predict that Bologna will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
22.11.25	Udinese - Bologna	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Bologna - Napoli	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Bologna - Brann	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
02.11.25	Parma - Bologna	1:3 ✺
29.10.25	Bologna - Torino	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWTWT
- Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga
23.11.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Swarovski Tirol	2:3 ✺
09.11.25	Sturm Graz - Red Bull Salzburg	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Go Ahead Eagles	2:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
02.11.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Ried	4:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
30.10.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Swarovski Tirol	3:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTWWW

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