Match Info

Bundesliga - Relegation Group - Round 27

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Merkur-Arena (Graz)

Referee: Jager F. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria
World	Onefootball


	Grazer AK		Ried

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.85	2.85	Watch
	2.52	2.88	3.05
	2.65	3.08	3.13
	2.48	3.13	3.02	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.8
	2.68	2.99	2.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.59)	2.97 ↓ (3.05)	2.97 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grazer AK
36.7%

Draw
31.7%

Ried
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

29.8%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

29.8%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grazer AK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Ried has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grazer AK than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ried than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Grazer AK - Ried Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Grazer will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Ried will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Stolz F. (G) 82. Owusu B. 2. Pines D. 3. Vraa-Jensen L. 6. Olesen M. 14. Italiano J. 20. Schriebl T. (C) 10. Lichtenberger C. 32. Klassen L. 22. Harakate R. 25. Hofleitner A.	1. Leitner A. (C) 5. Havenaar N. 23. Sollbauer M. 30. Steurer O. 6. Maart Y. 26. Mayer J. 28. Bajlicz N. 17. Pomer P. 12. Bajic A. 7. Mutandwa K. 29. van Wyk A.
Substitutes
28. Frieser D. 15. Graf L. 11. Grosse M. 8. Koch T. 4. Kreuzriegler M. 1. Meierhofer J. (G) 26. Nicht C. (G) 24. Paumgartner T. 7. Satin M.	47. Aisowieren E. E. 15. Boguo J. 13. Kiedl P. 25. Kirnbauer D. 36. Kostenbauer M. (G) 19. Nasrawe J. 8. Rasner M. 3. Scherzer J. 24. Wernitznig C.
Coaches
Feldhofer F.	Senft M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Owusu B. 🟨,
45+1', Steurer O. 🟨,
45+4', Bajic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Harakate R. ⚽,
62', Mayer J. ↓, Nasrawe J. ↑,
65', Schriebl T. 🟨,
66', Schriebl T. ↓, Koch T. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Havenaar N. ⚽, Pomer P. (A),
76', Lichtenberger C. ↓, Satin M. ↑,
77', Bajic A. ↓, Boguo J. ↑,
88', van Wyk A. ↓, Aisowieren E. E. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grazer won 4.

Grazer is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ried has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Grazer won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Grazer won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ried	8	3	2	3	13:13	0	11
6	Grazer AK	8	2	3	3	6:16	-10	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grazer AK
Austrian Bundesliga
11.04.26	Rheindorf Altach - Grazer AK	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Grazer AK - Blau-Weiss Linz	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.03.26	Grazer AK - Kapfenberger SV	2:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
21.03.26	Swarovski Tirol - Grazer AK	1:5 ✺
14.03.26	Grazer AK - Wolfsberger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWWW
- SV Ried
Austrian Bundesliga
11.04.26	Wolfsberger - Ried	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Ried - Rheindorf Altach	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Ried - SPG Wels	2:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
21.03.26	Blau-Weiss Linz - Ried	3:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
18.03.26	Ried - LASK Linz	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
01.03.26	Grazer AK - Ried	2:1
27.09.25	Ried - Grazer AK	0:0
Austrian 2 Liga
29.03.24	Ried - Grazer AK	0:1
01.09.23	Grazer AK - Ried	1:0
10.06.20	Grazer AK - Ried	4:2
23.08.19	Ried - Grazer AK	1:2

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